Chernomorets Balchik vs Ludogorets III — Third League - Northeast
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Chernomorets Balchik and Ludogorets III meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Chernomorets Balchik have recorded 8 wins from 12 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 58% of games. Ludogorets III have won 82% of their 11 matches, with 2.55 goals scored and 0.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 55%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Chernomorets Balchik and 1.39 for Ludogorets III. The models give Chernomorets Balchik a 44% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Ludogorets III win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Chernomorets Balchik—
Ludogorets III3º
Position
1º
2.22
PPG
2.50
67%
Win %
80%
1.67
Goals / game
2.50
0.78
Conceded / game
0.50
33%
BTTS %
36%
58%
Clean sheet %
55%
42%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Chernomorets Balchik
Home (3)
—
Ludogorets III
Away (5)
3.00
PPG
2.00
100%
Win %
60%
2.33
Goals / game
1.40
1.33
Conceded / game
0.20
50%
BTTS %
0%
50%
Clean sheet %
80%
50%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Chernomorets Balchik | Home | Away | Ludogorets III | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 82% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 33% | 73% | 100% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 17% | 33% | 55% | 67% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 50% | 18% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Chernomorets Balchik | Home | Away | Ludogorets III | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 42% | 50% | 33% | 45% | 67% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 58% | 50% | 67% | 55% | 33% | 80% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chernomorets Balchik | Ludogorets III | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 18% |
| BTTS | 33% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 36% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chernomorets Balchik | Ludogorets III | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 58% | 64% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 17% | 9% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 64% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Chernomorets Balchik (H)W
Septemvri Tervel2–0
Septemvri Tervel2–0W
Volov Shumen2–1
Volov Shumen2–1L
Etar Veliko Tarnovo2–3
Etar Veliko Tarnovo2–3W
Svetkavitsa 141–0
Svetkavitsa 141–0W
Olympic Varna4–3
Olympic Varna4–3W
Aksakovo3–0
Aksakovo3–0Ludogorets III (A)W
Benkovski Isperih1–0
Benkovski Isperih1–0W
Devnya 20053–0
Devnya 20053–0W
Riltzi3–0
Riltzi3–0LSvetkavitsa 140–1
Svetkavitsa 140–1D
Botev Novi Pazar0–0
Botev Novi Pazar0–0LBenkovski Isperih0–1
Benkovski Isperih0–1Head to Head · 10 matches
4
Chernomorets Balchik
40%
3
Draws
30%
3
Ludogorets III
30%
60%
Over 1.5
6/10
30%
Over 2.5
3/10
20%
Over 3.5
2/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
08/03/26Chernomorets Balchik
Ludogorets III
1–1Chernomorets Balchik03/09/25Ludogorets III
Chernomorets Balchik
1–0Ludogorets III03/05/25Ludogorets III
Chernomorets Balchik
1–0Ludogorets III02/11/24Chernomorets Balchik
Ludogorets III
1–1Chernomorets Balchik12/05/23Chernomorets Balchik
Ludogorets III
1–3Chernomorets Balchik06/11/22Ludogorets III
Chernomorets Balchik
3–0Ludogorets III26/03/22Ludogorets III
Chernomorets Balchik
0–1Ludogorets III11/09/21Chernomorets Balchik
Ludogorets III
1–0Chernomorets Balchik08/03/21Chernomorets Balchik
Ludogorets III
4–1Chernomorets Balchik20/02/21Ludogorets III
Chernomorets Balchik
1–1Ludogorets III| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 | Volov Shumen | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 4 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  Chernolomets 1919 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 18 |
| 6 | Septemvri Tervel | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 | Benkovski Isperih | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 | Botev Novi Pazar | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Cherno more II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Septemvri Dragoevo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Devnya 2005 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 12 | Riltzi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 13 | Olympic Varna | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 14 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 |  Ustrem Donchevo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 |  Fratria II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -17 | 7 |
| 17 |  Dorostol | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -16 | 1 |
Team Insights
Chernomorets Balchik- ●Chernomorets Balchik have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Ludogorets III- ●Ludogorets III have won their last 6 matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ludogorets III failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Ludogorets III's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Chernomorets BalchikWHSeptemvri Tervel2–0
Septemvri Tervel2–0WARiltzi3–0
Riltzi3–0LABenkovski Isperih0–2
Benkovski Isperih0–2WHVolov Shumen2–1
Volov Shumen2–1WHSvetkavitsa 141–0
Svetkavitsa 141–0DABotev Novi Pazar0–0
Botev Novi Pazar0–0–ADevnya 200531/10
Devnya 200531/10–HDorostol07/11
Dorostol07/11–AFratria II14/11
Fratria II14/11Ludogorets IIIWHDorostol3–0
Dorostol3–0WABenkovski Isperih1–0
Benkovski Isperih1–0WADevnya 20053–0
Devnya 20053–0WHSeptemvri Tervel3–0
Septemvri Tervel3–0WHVolov Shumen2–1
Volov Shumen2–1WARiltzi3–0
Riltzi3–0–AFratria II31/10
Fratria II31/10–HUstrem Donchevo07/11
Ustrem Donchevo07/11–ASeptemvri Dragoevo14/11
Septemvri Dragoevo14/11Top Scorers
Chernomorets BalchikT. Myurvet1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Ludogorets III