Erbil vs Ghaz Al Shamal — Iraqi League
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Erbil and Ghaz Al Shamal meet in the Iraqi League 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Erbil have recorded 5 wins from 8 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 0.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 75% of games. Ghaz Al Shamal have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 0.50 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 0%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Erbil and 0.75 for Ghaz Al Shamal. The models give Erbil a 53% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Ghaz Al Shamal win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30% and BTTS at 37%.
Season Statistics
ErbilGhaz Al ShamalHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Erbil | Home | Away | Ghaz Al | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 60% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Erbil | Home | Away | Ghaz Al | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 25% | 40% | 0% | 63% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 75% | 60% | 100% | 38% | 33% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Erbil | Ghaz Al | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 25% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Erbil | Ghaz Al | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 63% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 75% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 13% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 25% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 13% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Erbil (H)
Al-Karma1–2
Diyala2–0
Al Minaa Basra2–0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–1
Al Kahrabaa2–0
Baghdad3–1Ghaz Al (A)
Al Shorta0–0
Duhok1–1
Gharraf1–0Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–1
Zakho0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +9 | 20 |
| 2 |  Al Zawra'a | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 18 |
| 3 | Erbil | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Newroz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Shorta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 |  Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 |  Al-Jolan SC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Duhok | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Diyala | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Al Minaa Basra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Zakho | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 |  Mosul | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 |  Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Al Kahrabaa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 |  Al Talaba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Naft Maysan | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Gharraf | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 |  Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
Team Insights
Erbil- ●Erbil have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Erbil have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Erbil have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Erbil have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Erbil's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Erbil have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Ghaz Al- ●Ghaz Al Shamal have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Ghaz Al Shamal have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Ghaz Al Shamal have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●75% of Ghaz Al Shamal's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
ErbilKarbala3–0Al-Karma1–2Diyala2–0Al Shorta0–0Al Minaa Basra2–0Al Karkh1–0Naft Maysan08/10Mosul17/10Zakho22/10Ghaz AlNewroz0–0Al Shorta0–0Duhok1–1Al-Jolan SC0–1Gharraf1–0Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–1Al Minaa Basra10/10Al Zawra'a18/10Naft Maysan24/10Top Scorers
ErbilGhaz AlCards Given
ErbilGhaz Al