Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra — Iraqi League
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Diyala and Al Minaa Basra meet in the Iraqi League 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Diyala have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Al Minaa Basra have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Diyala and 0.84 for Al Minaa Basra. The models give Diyala a 49% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Al Minaa Basra win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
DiyalaAl Minaa BasraHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Diyala | Home | Away | Al Minaa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 100% | 43% | 58% | 86% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 80% | 14% | 33% | 57% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 40% | 0% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 0% | 57% | 42% | 14% | 80% |
Goals Conceded
| Diyala | Home | Away | Al Minaa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 80% | 86% | 67% | 71% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 40% | 71% | 33% | 14% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 20% | 0% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 20% | 14% | 33% | 29% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Diyala | Al Minaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS | 58% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Diyala | Al Minaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Diyala (H)
Naft Maysan2–0
Gharraf3–1
Al-Karma1–2
Al-Jolan SC3–3
Al Talaba2–1
Duhok1–0Al Minaa (A)
Al Quwa Al Jawiya0–0
Newroz0–2
Al Kahrabaa1–2
Erbil0–2
Al Zawra'a0–0
Al Shorta0–0Head to Head · 4 matches
DiyalaAl Minaa BasraDiyalaAl Minaa Basra| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Naft | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +9 | 25 |
| 3 | Newroz | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +12 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Zawra'a | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 |  Al Shorta | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 | Al-Jolan SC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 20 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | Erbil | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 19 |
| 8 | Al Minaa Basra | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Duhok | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 10 |  Ghaz Al Shamal | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Talaba | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 | Diyala | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Zakho | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | Gharraf | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 |  Mosul | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 |  Al Karkh | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Naft Maysan | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 | Al Kahrabaa | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 |  Karbala | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
Diyala- ●Diyala have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Diyala have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Diyala failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Diyala failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●73% of Diyala's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of Diyala's points have been earned at home.
- ●Diyala have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Al Minaa- ●Al Minaa Basra have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●92% of Al Minaa Basra's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Al Minaa Basra's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
DiyalaAl Zawra'a0–2Newroz0–0Naft Maysan2–0Naft0–2Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–1Gharraf3–1Al Minaa Basra05/11Al Kahrabaa19/11Duhok28/11Al MinaaAl Quwa Al Jawiya0–0Al-Karma2–1Newroz0–2Ghaz Al Shamal2–0Duhok1–1Al Kahrabaa1–2Diyala05/11Karbala20/11Al Talaba27/11Top Scorers
DiyalaAl MinaaCards Given
DiyalaAl Minaa