Newroz vs Karbala — Iraqi League
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Newroz and Karbala meet in the Iraqi League 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Newroz have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 17% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 17%; and clean sheets in 67% of games. Karbala have won 8% of their 12 matches, with 0.92 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Newroz and 0.74 for Karbala. The models give Newroz a 60% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Karbala win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Newroz | Home | Away | Karbala | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 60% | 57% | 67% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 60% | 29% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 40% | 43% | 33% | 17% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Newroz | Home | Away | Karbala | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 33% | 20% | 43% | 83% | 83% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 8% | 20% | 0% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 67% | 80% | 57% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newroz | Karbala | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 75% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 17% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 17% |
| BTTS | 17% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 8% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newroz | Karbala | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 17% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 58% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 17% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 | |
| 2 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +9 | 25 | |
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +12 | 23 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 21 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | +7 | 21 | |
| 6 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 20 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 17 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 19 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 | |
| 9 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 15 | |
| 10 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 15 | |
| 11 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -3 | 15 | |
| 12 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +1 | 13 | |
| 13 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 13 | |
| 14 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 | |
| 16 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 | |
| 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 9 | |
| 18 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -8 | 9 | |
| 19 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -7 | 8 | |
| 20 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Newroz have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
- ●Newroz have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Newroz have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Newroz have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Newroz have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Newroz have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Newroz have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Newroz have scored 79% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Karbala have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Karbala have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Karbala have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Karbala failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Karbala failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Karbala have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Karbala's goals have been scored at home.

