Gharraf vs Mosul — Iraqi League
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Gharraf and Mosul meet in the Iraqi League 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Gharraf have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 0.55 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Mosul have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.08 for Gharraf and 0.78 for Mosul. The models give Gharraf a 40% win probability, with a draw at 32% and an Mosul win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 29% and BTTS at 36%.
Season Statistics
Gharraf
MosulHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Gharraf | Home | Away | Mosul | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 45% | 40% | 50% | 64% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 9% | 0% | 17% | 27% | 60% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 55% | 60% | 50% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Gharraf | Home | Away | Mosul | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 40% | 83% | 82% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 20% | 50% | 45% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 33% | 18% | 20% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 60% | 17% | 18% | 20% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gharraf | Mosul | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 73% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 55% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 36% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gharraf | Mosul | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 27% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 55% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 18% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Gharraf (H)
Naft0–0
Al-Jolan SC0–0
Al Shorta1–2
Ghaz Al Shamal0–1
Newroz1–0
Naft Maysan0–2Mosul (A)
Al Karkh1–1
Erbil1–0
Zakho1–2Newroz0–3Al Shorta0–2
Al-Karma1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
GharrafMosul| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 | Newroz | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 | Naft | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Al Shorta | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 | Erbil | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Al Zawra'a | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | Al-Jolan SC | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |  Duhok | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Minaa Basra | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Al Talaba | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 |  Diyala | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 | Mosul | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Zakho | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Gharraf | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 |  Al Kahrabaa | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Naft Maysan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 |  Karbala | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Gharraf- ●Gharraf have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Gharraf have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Gharraf have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Gharraf have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Gharraf failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●77% of Gharraf's goals conceded were conceded away.
Mosul- ●Mosul failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Mosul failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Mosul's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
GharrafNaft0–0Karbala2–1Al-Jolan SC0–0Al Zawra'a0–2Diyala1–3Al Shorta1–2Al Karkh31/10Erbil06/11Al Quwa Al Jawiya20/11MosulAl Karkh1–1Erbil1–0Al Quwa Al Jawiya0–3Naft0–1Zakho1–2Newroz0–3Al-Jolan SC29/10Duhok06/11Naft Maysan20/11Top Scorers
GharrafMosulCards Given
GharrafMosul