Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al-Karma — Iraqi League
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Ghaz Al Shamal and Al-Karma meet in the Iraqi League 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Ghaz Al Shamal have recorded 2 wins from 10 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 0.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 0%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Al-Karma have won 70% of their 10 matches, with 1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.92 for Ghaz Al Shamal and 0.85 for Al-Karma. The models give Ghaz Al Shamal a 31% win probability, with a draw at 32% and an Al-Karma win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 26% and BTTS at 35%.
Season Statistics
Ghaz Al ShamalAl-KarmaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ghaz Al | Home | Away | Al-Karma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 90% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 50% | 50% | 10% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Ghaz Al | Home | Away | Al-Karma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 67% | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 17% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ghaz Al | Al-Karma | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 40% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS | 30% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 0% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ghaz Al | Al-Karma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 10% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 20% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 10% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Ghaz Al (H)
Al Zawra'a1–0
Newroz0–0
Al-Jolan SC0–1
Al Kahrabaa1–1Al-Karma (A)
Al Quwa Al Jawiya0–0
Erbil2–1
Diyala2–1Al Kahrabaa1–1
Al Talaba1–1
Naft Maysan1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 | Newroz | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Naft | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | Al Zawra'a | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Erbil | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 |  Al Shorta | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | Al-Jolan SC | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 |  Duhok | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 | Diyala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Al Minaa Basra | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Al Talaba | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Mosul | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Zakho | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 |  Gharraf | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 |  Al Karkh | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Al Kahrabaa | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Naft Maysan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 |  Karbala | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
Team Insights
Ghaz Al- ●Ghaz Al Shamal have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
Al-Karma- ●Al-Karma have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●Al-Karma have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Al-Karma have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Al-Karma have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Al-Karma have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Al-Karma have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●71% of Al-Karma's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Ghaz AlAl Zawra'a1–0Al Minaa Basra0–2Newroz0–0Al Shorta0–0Duhok1–1Al-Jolan SC0–1Naft Maysan24/10Erbil30/10Al Talaba06/11Al-KarmaAl Quwa Al Jawiya0–0Al Karkh3–2Zakho1–0Erbil2–1Naft3–0Diyala2–1Al Minaa Basra24/10Duhok30/10Naft Maysan06/11Top Scorers
Ghaz AlAl-KarmaCards Given
Ghaz AlAl-Karma