Mosul vs Al Minaa Basra — Iraqi League
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Mosul and Al Minaa Basra meet in the Iraqi League 2026 season on 4 December 2026. Mosul have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Al Minaa Basra have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.09 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Mosul and 0.89 for Al Minaa Basra. The models give Mosul a 47% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Al Minaa Basra win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
MosulAl Minaa BasraHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mosul | Home | Away | Al Minaa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 60% | 67% | 64% | 86% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 60% | 0% | 36% | 57% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 20% | 0% | 9% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 40% | 33% | 36% | 14% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| Mosul | Home | Away | Al Minaa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 80% | 83% | 73% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 40% | 50% | 36% | 14% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 20% | 17% | 9% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 20% | 17% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mosul | Al Minaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 45% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mosul | Al Minaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Mosul (H)
Al Quwa Al Jawiya0–3
Naft0–1
Al Zawra'a2–2
Karbala3–0
Diyala2–1
Duhok3–3Al Minaa (A)
Newroz0–2
Al Kahrabaa1–2
Erbil0–2Al Zawra'a0–0
Al Shorta0–0Naft1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
MosulAl Minaa Basra| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Karma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 | Newroz | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 | Naft | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Al Shorta | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 | Erbil | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Zawra'a | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 |  Al-Jolan SC | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Duhok | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Minaa Basra | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Al Talaba | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Diyala | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 | Mosul | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 |  Zakho | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 |  Ghaz Al Shamal | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 |  Gharraf | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Al Karkh | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 | Al Kahrabaa | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 |  Naft Maysan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Karbala | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Mosul- ●Mosul failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Mosul failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Mosul's goals have been scored at home.
Al Minaa- ●Al Minaa Basra have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●92% of Al Minaa Basra's goals have been scored at home.
- ●93% of Al Minaa Basra's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
MosulAl Karkh1–1Erbil1–0Al Quwa Al Jawiya0–3Naft0–1Zakho1–2Newroz0–3Al-Jolan SC29/10Duhok06/11Naft Maysan20/11Al MinaaAl-Karma2–1Newroz0–2Ghaz Al Shamal2–0Duhok1–1Al Kahrabaa1–2Naft Maysan1–1Al Quwa Al Jawiya29/10Diyala06/11Karbala20/11Top Scorers
MosulAl MinaaCards Given
MosulAl Minaa