Karbala vs Ghaz Al Shamal — Iraqi League
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Karbala and Ghaz Al Shamal meet in the Iraqi League 2026 season on 4 December 2026. Karbala have recorded 1 wins from 11 matches this season (9% win rate), averaging 0.82 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Ghaz Al Shamal have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 0.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 30%, Over 2.5 at 0%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.05 for Karbala and 1.04 for Ghaz Al Shamal. The models give Karbala a 35% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Ghaz Al Shamal win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 35% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
KarbalaGhaz Al ShamalHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Karbala | Home | Away | Ghaz Al | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 80% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 18% | 20% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Karbala | Home | Away | Ghaz Al | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 80% | 83% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 60% | 67% | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 20% | 17% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Karbala | Ghaz Al | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 0% |
| BTTS | 55% | 30% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 0% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Karbala | Ghaz Al | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 9% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 20% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 10% |
Recent Venue Form
Karbala (H)
Gharraf1–2
Erbil0–3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2–3
Al Karkh1–0
Al Zawra'a1–1
Al Hudod2–3Ghaz Al (A)
Al Minaa Basra0–2
Al Shorta0–0
Duhok1–1Gharraf1–0Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–1
Zakho0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Karma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Newroz | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Naft | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Al Shorta | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 | Erbil | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Zawra'a | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 |  Al-Jolan SC | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Duhok | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Minaa Basra | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Al Talaba | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 |  Diyala | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mosul | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Zakho | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Gharraf | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 |  Al Kahrabaa | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 |  Naft Maysan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Karbala | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Karbala- ●Karbala have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Karbala have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Karbala failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Karbala failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Karbala have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
Ghaz Al- ●Ghaz Al Shamal have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
Season Schedule
KarbalaDuhok2–5Gharraf1–2Al Kahrabaa0–0Erbil0–3Naft1–2Al Quwa Al Jawiya2–3Al Talaba30/10Newroz06/11Al Minaa Basra20/11Ghaz AlAl Zawra'a1–0Al Minaa Basra0–2Newroz0–0Al Shorta0–0Duhok1–1Al-Jolan SC0–1Naft Maysan24/10Erbil31/10Al Talaba06/11Top Scorers
KarbalaGhaz AlCards Given
KarbalaGhaz Al