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Erbil vs Naft — Iraqi League

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Iraq · Iraqi League · Regular Season - 17
Erbil
Erbil
6º · 1.64 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 50d 2h
vs
–
–
Naft
Naft
1º · 2.08 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 43d 2h
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Erbil and Naft meet in the Iraqi League 2026 season on 11 December 2026. Erbil have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Naft have won 58% of their 12 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 0.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 17%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 75%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.07 for Erbil and 0.74 for Naft. The models give Erbil a 45% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Naft win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 27% and BTTS at 35%.

Season Statistics

Erbil
—
Naft
6º
Position
1º
1.64
PPG
2.08
45%
Win %
58%
1.27
Goals / game
1.17
0.64
Conceded / game
0.42
42%
BTTS %
17%
50%
Clean sheet %
75%
33%
Over 2.5 %
25%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Erbil
Home (6)
—
Naft
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
0.67
0.67
Conceded / game
0.50
33%
BTTS %
0%
50%
Clean sheet %
83%
17%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

ErbilHomeAwayNaftHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored83%83%83%67%100%33%
Over 1.5 Scored42%50%33%42%67%17%
Over 2.5 Scored17%0%33%8%0%17%
Failed To Score17%17%17%33%0%67%

Goals Conceded

ErbilHomeAwayNaftHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded50%50%50%25%33%17%
Over 1.5 Conceded25%17%33%8%0%17%
Over 2.5 Conceded8%0%17%8%0%17%
Clean Sheets50%50%50%75%67%83%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

ErbilNaft
Over 0.592%75%
Over 1.575%58%
Over 2.533%25%
Over 3.58%0%
Over 4.58%0%
BTTS42%17%
BTTS & Win0%8%
BTTS & Draw17%8%
BTTS & Over 2.525%8%
BTTS No & Over 2.58%17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

ErbilNaft
Win 1st Half58%17%
Draw 1st Half33%67%
Loss 1st Half8%17%
Scored 1st Half58%17%
Conceded 1st Half17%17%
Win 2nd Half33%50%
Draw 2nd Half33%42%
Loss 2nd Half33%8%
Scored 2nd Half58%50%
Conceded 2nd Half42%17%
Over 0.5 HT67%33%
Over 1.5 HT33%25%

Recent Venue Form

Erbil (H)
LMosul0–1
LAl-Karma1–2
WDiyala2–0
WAl Minaa Basra2–0
DAl Quwa Al Jawiya1–1
WAl Kahrabaa2–0
Naft (A)
DGharraf0–0
WMosul1–0
LAl-Karma0–3
WAl Minaa Basra3–0
DAl Talaba0–0
DNaft Maysan0–0

Head to Head · 12 matches

7
Erbil
58%
3
Draws
25%
2
Naft
17%
83%
Over 1.5
10/12
25%
Over 2.5
3/12
17%
Over 3.5
2/12
42%
BTTS
5/12
14/04/26
Naft
0–2
Erbil
05/02/26
Erbil
3–1
Naft
16/04/25
Erbil
2–3
Naft
28/01/25
Naft
0–2
Erbil
12/05/24
Naft
0–1
Erbil
27/10/23
Erbil
1–1
Naft
07/05/23
Naft
0–2
Erbil
05/12/22
Erbil
2–0
Naft
04/05/22
Naft
2–0
Erbil
26/11/21
Erbil
0–0
Naft
17/05/21
Erbil
2–1
Naft
02/01/21
Naft
1–1
Erbil
Iraqi League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Naft12741+925
2Al-Karma11731+924
3Newroz11641+1222
4Al Shorta11551+720
5Al-Jolan SC12552+420
6Erbil11533+718
6Al Shorta10451+517
7Al Zawra'a11533+618
8Al Minaa Basra12444-116
9Duhok11362+415
10Ghaz Al Shamal11353-114
11Al Talaba11353-314
12Al Quwa Al Jawiya12273+113
13Diyala11344-113
14Zakho11335-612
15Mosul12336-712
16Gharraf11245-710
17Al Karkh11236-59
18Al Kahrabaa12156-78
19Naft Maysan11155-88
20Karbala11137-136

Team Insights

Erbil
  • ●Erbil have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Erbil have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Erbil have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Erbil have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Naft
  • ●Naft have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
  • ●Naft have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Naft have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Naft have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Naft have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Naft have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Naft have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Naft have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Naft have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●71% of Naft's goals have been scored at home.
ErbilErbil
LAZakho14º1–2
LHMosul15º0–1
LAAjman4–5
DANaft Maysan19º1–1
WAKarbala20º3–0
LHAl-Karma2º1–2
WHDiyala13º2–0
DAAl Shorta6º0–0
WHAl Minaa Basra8º2–0
WAAl Karkh17º1–0
NaftNaft
WHAl Kahrabaa18º1–0
DAGharraf16º0–0
WHZakho14º2–0
WHDiyala13º2–0
WAMosul15º1–0
WHKarbala20º2–1
LAAl-Karma2º0–3
WAAl Minaa Basra8º3–0
DAAl Talaba11º0–0
DHDuhok9º1–1

Season Schedule

Erbil
LAZakho1–2
LHMosul0–1
DANaft Maysan1–1
WAKarbala3–0
LHAl-Karma1–2
WHDiyala2–0
–HGhaz Al Shamal31/10
–HGharraf08/11
–ADuhok19/11
Naft
WHAl Kahrabaa1–0
DAGharraf0–0
WHZakho2–0
WHDiyala2–0
WAMosul1–0
WHKarbala2–1
–AAl Shorta08/11
–AAl-Jolan SC20/11
–HAl Quwa Al Jawiya28/11

Top Scorers

Erbil
Miullen6 ⚽
I. Eze4 ⚽
I. Bayesh2 ⚽
C. John1 ⚽
A. Hzair1 ⚽
A. Shebar1 ⚽
Naft
Caique5 ⚽
M. Adnan3 ⚽
C. Opare2 ⚽
H. Khalaf2 ⚽
C. M. Kouvouama1 ⚽
W. Kareem1 ⚽

Cards Given

Erbil
A. Jamous1 🟨
H. Inonga1 🟨
I. Eze1 🟨
Miullen1 🟨
Naft
S. Hien1 🟨