Karbala vs Diyala — Iraqi League
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Karbala and Diyala meet in the Iraqi League 2026 season on 25 December 2026. Karbala have recorded 1 wins from 13 matches this season (8% win rate), averaging 0.85 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Diyala have won 23% of their 13 matches, with 1.15 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Karbala and 1.12 for Diyala. The models give Karbala a 40% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Diyala win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Karbala—
Diyala20º
Position
12º
0.54
PPG
1.08
8%
Win %
23%
0.85
Goals / game
1.15
1.92
Conceded / game
1.38
54%
BTTS %
54%
15%
Clean sheet %
23%
54%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Karbala
Home (6)
—
Diyala
Away (7)
0.83
PPG
0.43
17%
Win %
0%
1.17
Goals / game
0.57
1.83
Conceded / game
1.57
67%
BTTS %
43%
17%
Clean sheet %
14%
67%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Karbala | Home | Away | Diyala | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 83% | 43% | 62% | 83% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 23% | 33% | 14% | 38% | 67% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 17% | 57% | 38% | 17% | 57% |
Goals Conceded
| Karbala | Home | Away | Diyala | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 83% | 86% | 77% | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 62% | 67% | 57% | 54% | 33% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 33% | 29% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 17% | 14% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Karbala | Diyala | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS | 54% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Karbala | Diyala | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 15% | 31% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 54% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Karbala (H)D
Al Talaba2–2
Al Talaba2–2L
Gharraf1–2
Gharraf1–2L
Erbil0–3
Erbil0–3L
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2–3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2–3W
Al Karkh1–0
Al Karkh1–0D
Al Zawra'a1–1
Al Zawra'a1–1Diyala (A)LAl Zawra'a0–2
Al Zawra'a0–2D
Newroz0–0
Newroz0–0L
Naft0–2
Naft0–2DAl Quwa Al Jawiya1–1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–1LErbil0–2
Erbil0–2D
Zakho2–2
Zakho2–2Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Karbala
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Diyala
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
02/04/25Karbala
Diyala
1–0Karbala27/11/24Diyala
Karbala
2–2Diyala| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Karma | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 30 |
| 2 | Newroz | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 | Naft | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +9 | 25 |
| 4 |  Al-Jolan SC | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Al Shorta | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 | Al Zawra'a | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 |  Al Shorta | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | Erbil | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 19 |
| 8 |  Duhok | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +4 | 18 |
| 9 |  Al Minaa Basra | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Ghaz Al Shamal | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Al Talaba | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Diyala | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Gharraf | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | Zakho | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 16 | Al Karkh | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 |  Mosul | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 18 |  Al Kahrabaa | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 |  Naft Maysan | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 20 | Karbala | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Karbala- ●Karbala have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Karbala have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Karbala have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Karbala failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Karbala failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Karbala have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●64% of Karbala's goals have been scored at home.
Diyala- ●Diyala have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Diyala have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Diyala have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Diyala failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Diyala failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●73% of Diyala's goals have been scored at home.
- ●79% of Diyala's points have been earned at home.
- ●Diyala have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
KarbalaLANewroz0–1
Newroz0–1DHAl Talaba2–2
Al Talaba2–2LADuhok2–5
Duhok2–5LHGharraf1–2
Gharraf1–2DAAl Kahrabaa0–0
Al Kahrabaa0–0LHErbil0–3
Erbil0–3–AAl Minaa Basra20/11
Al Minaa Basra20/11–AZakho27/11
Zakho27/11–HGhaz Al Shamal05/12
Ghaz Al Shamal05/12DiyalaDHAl Minaa Basra0–0
Al Minaa Basra0–0LAAl Zawra'a0–2
Al Zawra'a0–2DANewroz0–0
Newroz0–0WHNaft Maysan2–0
Naft Maysan2–0LANaft0–2
Naft0–2DAAl Quwa Al Jawiya1–1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–1–AAl Kahrabaa19/11
Al Kahrabaa19/11–ADuhok28/11
Duhok28/11–HAl Karkh05/12
Al Karkh05/12Top Scorers
KarbalaA. Amutu3 ⚽
A. Karim1 ⚽
A. Khaled1 ⚽
Austin Amutu1 ⚽
D. Olatunji1 ⚽
J. Akpudje1 ⚽
DiyalaM. Khudair4 ⚽
N. Sioud4 ⚽
S. Ahmed3 ⚽
Z. Jabbar2 ⚽
D. Al Immari1 ⚽
Cards Given
KarbalaA. Karim2 🟨
A. Alwan1 🟨
M. Al Baqer1 🟨
DiyalaA. Al Matari1 🟨
M. Khudair1 🟨