Newroz vs Al Karkh — Iraqi League
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Newroz and Al Karkh meet in the Iraqi League 2026 season on 25 December 2026. Newroz have recorded 6 wins from 13 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.15 goals scored and 0.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 15% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 15%; and clean sheets in 69% of games. Al Karkh have won 23% of their 13 matches, with 1.23 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Newroz and 0.80 for Al Karkh. The models give Newroz a 53% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Al Karkh win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
Newroz—
Al Karkh2º
Position
16º
2.00
PPG
0.92
54%
Win %
23%
1.38
Goals / game
1.23
0.38
Conceded / game
1.62
15%
BTTS %
62%
69%
Clean sheet %
8%
15%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Newroz
Home (6)
—
Al Karkh
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
0.57
50%
Win %
14%
1.50
Goals / game
0.86
0.50
Conceded / game
1.57
17%
BTTS %
43%
83%
Clean sheet %
14%
33%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Newroz | Home | Away | Al Karkh | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 67% | 57% | 69% | 83% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 29% | 38% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 33% | 0% | 15% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 33% | 43% | 31% | 17% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Newroz | Home | Away | Al Karkh | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 31% | 17% | 43% | 92% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 8% | 17% | 0% | 54% | 67% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 17% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 69% | 83% | 57% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newroz | Al Karkh | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 77% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 46% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 15% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 31% |
| BTTS | 15% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 8% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newroz | Al Karkh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 23% | 69% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 54% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 31% | 31% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 15% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 62% |
Recent Venue Form
Newroz (H)W
Karbala1–0
Karbala1–0D
Diyala0–0
Diyala0–0W
Al Minaa Basra2–0
Al Minaa Basra2–0W
Mosul3–0
Mosul3–0D
Duhok0–0
Duhok0–0D
Al Quwa Al Jawiya3–3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya3–3Al Karkh (A)WAl Quwa Al Jawiya1–0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–0D
Al Shorta1–1
Al Shorta1–1L
Al-Karma2–3
Al-Karma2–3L
Al Talaba2–3
Al Talaba2–3LKarbala0–1
Karbala0–1L
Al-Jolan SC0–1
Al-Jolan SC0–1Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Newroz
25%
2
Draws
50%
1
Al Karkh
25%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
25%
BTTS
1/4
08/04/26Al Karkh
Newroz
0–0Al Karkh22/01/26Newroz
Al Karkh
3–0Newroz18/04/25Newroz
Al Karkh
2–2Newroz14/01/25Al Karkh
Newroz
1–0Al Karkh| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 30 |
| 2 | Newroz | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Naft | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +9 | 25 |
| 4 | Al-Jolan SC | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 | Al Shorta | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 |  Al Zawra'a | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 |  Al Shorta | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 |  Erbil | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 19 |
| 8 | Duhok | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +4 | 18 |
| 9 | Al Minaa Basra | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Ghaz Al Shamal | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Al Talaba | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Diyala | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 |  Gharraf | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 |  Zakho | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 16 | Al Karkh | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Mosul | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 18 |  Al Kahrabaa | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 |  Naft Maysan | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 20 | Karbala | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Newroz- ●Newroz have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●Newroz have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Newroz have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Newroz have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Newroz have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Newroz have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Newroz have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Newroz have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Al Karkh- ●Al Karkh have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Al Karkh failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Al Karkh have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Al Karkh have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Al Karkh failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Al Karkh failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Al Karkh have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Al Karkh's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Al Karkh have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Al Karkh have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
NewrozWHKarbala1–0
Karbala1–0DAAl Shorta1–1
Al Shorta1–1DHDiyala0–0
Diyala0–0WHAl Minaa Basra2–0
Al Minaa Basra2–0WAZakho1–0
Zakho1–0DAGhaz Al Shamal0–0
Ghaz Al Shamal0–0–HAl-Karma21/11
Al-Karma21/11–HAl Kahrabaa28/11
Al Kahrabaa28/11–ANaft05/12
Naft05/12Al KarkhWAAl Quwa Al Jawiya1–0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–0LHGharraf1–2
Gharraf1–2DHMosul1–1
Mosul1–1DAAl Shorta1–1
Al Shorta1–1LAAl-Karma2–3
Al-Karma2–3WHNaft Maysan3–2
Naft Maysan3–2–AGhaz Al Shamal19/11
Ghaz Al Shamal19/11–HAl Zawra'a29/11
Al Zawra'a29/11–ADiyala05/12
Diyala05/12Top Scorers
NewrozNeto Acara4 ⚽
H. Oueslati2 ⚽
M. D. Ismael2 ⚽
M. Hussein2 ⚽
M. Ridha Jalil2 ⚽
1 ⚽
Al KarkhM. Soro Nanga4 ⚽
I. Tandia3 ⚽
S. Alaa3 ⚽
S. Hussein2 ⚽
Y. Zakri1 ⚽
E. Sou1 ⚽
Cards Given
NewrozH. Oueslati2 🟨
T. Hussein2 🟨
M. Hussein1 🟨
Al Karkh