Besa Kavajë vs Pogradeci — 1st Division
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Besa Kavajë and Pogradeci meet in the 1st Division 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Besa Kavajë have recorded 5 wins from 7 matches this season (71% win rate), averaging 2.86 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Pogradeci have won 40% of their 5 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 60%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Besa Kavajë and 1.35 for Pogradeci. The models give Besa Kavajë a 36% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Pogradeci win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Besa KavajëPogradeciHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Besa Kavajë | Home | Away | Pogradeci | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 75% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Besa Kavajë | Home | Away | Pogradeci | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 50% | 75% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 50% | 25% | 67% | 33% | 100% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Besa Kavajë | Pogradeci | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS | 63% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Besa Kavajë | Pogradeci | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 88% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 100% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Besa Kavajë (H)
Oriku5–0
Flamurtari3–3
Partizani2–1
Laci1–0
Korabi Peshkopi1–1
Lushnja0–0Pogradeci (A)
FK Kukesi3–0
Iliria Fushë-Krujë0–0
Teuta Durrës0–1
Luftëtari0–3Laci0–2
Struga0–0Head to Head · 23 matches
Besa KavajëBesa KavajëPogradeciBesa KavajëPogradeciPogradeciBesa KavajëPogradeciBesa KavajëPogradeciBesa KavajëPogradeciBesa KavajëPogradeciBesa KavajëBesa KavajëPogradeciBesa KavajëPogradeciPogradeci| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besa Kavajë | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 7 |
| 2 | Pogradeci | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 3 | Korabi Peshkopi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 5 |  Bylis | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 |  Kastrioti Krujë | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 |  Sopoti Librazhd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 | FK Kukesi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Flamurtari | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 10 |  Burreli | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 11 |  Besëlidhja Lezhë | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 12 | Oriku | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Team Insights
Besa Kavajë- ●62% of Besa Kavajë's goals have been scored at home.
Pogradeci- ●Pogradeci have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Pogradeci have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Pogradeci have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
Besa KavajëBesëlidhja Lezhë1–2Oriku5–0Sopoti Librazhd4–0Flamurtari3–3Iliria Fushë-Krujë11/10FK Kukesi17/10Korabi Peshkopi24/10PogradeciFlamurtari0–0FK Kukesi3–0Kastrioti Krujë2–1Iliria Fushë-Krujë0–0Korabi Peshkopi11/10Sopoti Librazhd17/10Bylis24/10Top Scorers
Besa KavajëPogradeci