Kwara United vs Rivers United — NPFL
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Kwara United and Rivers United meet in the NPFL 2027 season on 15 November 2026. Kwara United have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Rivers United have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 0.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 25%, Over 2.5 at 13%, and clean sheets at 75%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Kwara United and 0.71 for Rivers United. The models give Kwara United a 47% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Rivers United win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Kwara United—
Rivers United12º
Position
2º
1.25
PPG
2.00
38%
Win %
50%
1.13
Goals / game
1.63
1.13
Conceded / game
0.25
38%
BTTS %
25%
13%
Clean sheet %
75%
50%
Over 2.5 %
13%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Kwara United
Home (4)
—
Rivers United
Away (4)
2.50
PPG
1.00
75%
Win %
0%
2.25
Goals / game
0.50
1.00
Conceded / game
0.50
75%
BTTS %
50%
25%
Clean sheet %
50%
100%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Kwara United | Home | Away | Rivers United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 100% | 0% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 0% | 100% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Kwara United | Home | Away | Rivers United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 75% | 100% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 25% | 0% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kwara United | Rivers United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 13% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS | 38% | 25% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kwara United | Rivers United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 63% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 75% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 13% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Kwara United (H)W
Ranchers Bees2–1
Ranchers Bees2–1W
Nasarawa United2–1
Nasarawa United2–1W
Katsina United3–0
Katsina United3–0D
Kano Pillars2–2
Kano Pillars2–2L
Sokoto0–1
Sokoto0–1W
Enyimba2–0
Enyimba2–0Rivers United (A)D
Abia Warriors0–0
Abia Warriors0–0DKatsina United1–1
Katsina United1–1DRanchers Bees0–0
Ranchers Bees0–0DNasarawa United1–1
Nasarawa United1–1D
San-Pédro1–1
San-Pédro1–1W
Wikki Tourist3–2
Wikki Tourist3–2Head to Head · 15 matches
2
Kwara United
13%
7
Draws
47%
6
Rivers United
40%
53%
Over 1.5
8/15
33%
Over 2.5
5/15
7%
Over 3.5
1/15
40%
BTTS
6/15
18/02/26Rivers United
Kwara United
1–1Rivers United31/08/25Kwara United
Rivers United
1–0Kwara United11/05/25Rivers United
Kwara United
3–1Rivers United15/12/24Kwara United
Rivers United
2–1Kwara United09/05/24Rivers United
Kwara United
0–0Rivers United15/10/23Kwara United
Rivers United
0–0Kwara United01/05/22Rivers United
Kwara United
2–1Rivers United16/01/22Kwara United
Rivers United
3–0Kwara United26/05/21Rivers United
Kwara United
1–1Rivers United10/01/21Kwara United
Rivers United
3–0Kwara United16/02/20Rivers United
Kwara United
1–1Rivers United09/02/20Kwara United
Rivers United
1–0Kwara United12/05/19Rivers United
Kwara United
0–0Rivers United06/02/19Kwara United
Rivers United
0–0Kwara United25/02/18Rivers United
Kwara United
0–1Rivers United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 |  Plateau United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Barau FC | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  Doma United | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 |  Ikorodu City | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 |  Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Sporting Lagos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Kano Pillars | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Nasarawa United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Kwara United | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 |  Warri Wolves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Niger Tornadoes | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Ranchers Bees | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 |  Shooting Stars | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 |  Kun Khalifat FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Enyimba | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 20 |  Inter Lagos | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
Team Insights
Kwara United- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Kwara United have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Kwara United have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kwara United have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●100% of Kwara United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Kwara United's points have been earned at home.
- ●Kwara United have conceded 89% of their goals in the first half.
Rivers United- ●Rivers United have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Rivers United have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Rivers United have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Rivers United have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Rivers United have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Rivers United have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●85% of Rivers United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Rivers United's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Kwara UnitedLAIkorodu City0–2
Ikorodu City0–2WHRanchers Bees2–1
Ranchers Bees2–1LAKun Khalifat FC0–1
Kun Khalifat FC0–1WHNasarawa United2–1
Nasarawa United2–1LAWarri Wolves0–1
Warri Wolves0–1WHKatsina United3–0
Katsina United3–0–HAbia Warriors18/10
Abia Warriors18/10–ABarau FC25/10
Barau FC25/10–HBendel Insurance01/11
Bendel Insurance01/11Rivers UnitedDAAbia Warriors0–0
Abia Warriors0–0WHIkorodu City2–0
Ikorodu City2–0DAKatsina United1–1
Katsina United1–1DARanchers Bees0–0
Ranchers Bees0–0WHKun Khalifat FC5–0
Kun Khalifat FC5–0DANasarawa United1–1
Nasarawa United1–1–HBarau FC18/10
Barau FC18/10–ABendel Insurance25/10
Bendel Insurance25/10–HEnugu Rangers01/11
Enugu Rangers01/11Top Scorers
Kwara UnitedG. Chukwu1 ⚽
T. Gidado1 ⚽
Rivers UnitedA. Salman2 ⚽
C. Ugwueze2 ⚽
W. Falolu2 ⚽
A. Dabai2 ⚽
E. Awazie1 ⚽
M. Chijioke1 ⚽
Cards Given
Kwara United6 🟨
Rivers United2 🟨
A. Salman1 🟨
O. Elias1 🟨
S. Manyo1 🟨