Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos — NPFL
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Warri Wolves and Sporting Lagos meet in the NPFL 2027 season on 15 November 2026. Warri Wolves have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 0.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Sporting Lagos have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.25 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Warri Wolves and 0.94 for Sporting Lagos. The models give Warri Wolves a 44% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Sporting Lagos win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Warri WolvesSporting LagosHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Warri Wolves | Home | Away | Sporting Lagos | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 75% | 25% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 25% | 75% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Warri Wolves | Home | Away | Sporting Lagos | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 50% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Warri Wolves | Sporting Lagos | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 38% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS | 25% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Warri Wolves | Sporting Lagos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 13% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Warri Wolves (H)
Inter Lagos3–1
Enugu Rangers0–1
Shooting Stars1–0
Kwara United1–0
Abia Warriors2–1
Plateau United1–0Sporting Lagos (A)
Kano Pillars1–1
Enyimba3–2Inter Lagos3–0
Doma United0–2Shooting Stars0–1
Bayelsa United2–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 2 |  Rivers United | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 | Plateau United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Barau FC | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Doma United | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 |  Ikorodu City | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 |  Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Sporting Lagos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Katsina United | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Kano Pillars | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 |  Nasarawa United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Kwara United | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Warri Wolves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Niger Tornadoes | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |  Ranchers Bees | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Shooting Stars | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 |  Kun Khalifat FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Enyimba | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
Team Insights
Warri Wolves- ●90% of Warri Wolves's points have been earned at home.
Sporting Lagos- ●Sporting Lagos have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of Sporting Lagos's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
Warri WolvesInter Lagos3–1Doma United0–1Enugu Rangers0–1Shooting Stars1–0Niger Tornadoes0–0Kwara United1–0Enyimba18/10Kano Pillars25/10Plateau United01/11Sporting LagosBendel Insurance2–1Kano Pillars1–1Ikorodu City0–0Barau FC1–1Enyimba3–2Abia Warriors0–2Plateau United18/10Enugu Rangers24/10Katsina United01/11Top Scorers
Warri WolvesSporting LagosCards Given
Warri WolvesSporting Lagos