Nasarawa United vs Warri Wolves — NPFL
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Nasarawa United and Warri Wolves meet in the NPFL 2027 season on 22 November 2026. Nasarawa United have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.11 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 56% of games. Warri Wolves have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 22%, Over 2.5 at 22%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Nasarawa United and 0.48 for Warri Wolves. The models give Nasarawa United a 56% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Warri Wolves win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 29% and BTTS at 29%.
Season Statistics
Nasarawa United—
Warri Wolves6º
Position
14º
1.56
PPG
1.22
44%
Win %
33%
1.11
Goals / game
0.67
0.89
Conceded / game
0.78
44%
BTTS %
22%
56%
Clean sheet %
44%
33%
Over 2.5 %
22%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Nasarawa United
Home (4)
—
Warri Wolves
Away (5)
2.50
PPG
0.40
75%
Win %
0%
1.25
Goals / game
0.20
0.25
Conceded / game
1.00
25%
BTTS %
20%
75%
Clean sheet %
40%
0%
Over 2.5 %
20%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Nasarawa United | Home | Away | Warri Wolves | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 80% | 44% | 75% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 25% | 20% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 20% | 56% | 25% | 80% |
Goals Conceded
| Nasarawa United | Home | Away | Warri Wolves | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 44% | 25% | 60% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 0% | 60% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 56% | 75% | 40% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nasarawa United | Warri Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 22% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 44% | 22% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nasarawa United | Warri Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 56% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 11% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Nasarawa United (H)W
Doma United2–0
Doma United2–0W
Niger Tornadoes1–0
Niger Tornadoes1–0D
Rivers United1–1
Rivers United1–1W
Bendel Insurance1–0
Bendel Insurance1–0D
Ikorodu City1–1
Ikorodu City1–1W
Plateau United2–1
Plateau United2–1Warri Wolves (A)D
Enyimba0–0
Enyimba0–0LDoma United0–1
Doma United0–1DNiger Tornadoes0–0
Niger Tornadoes0–0LRivers United0–2
Rivers United0–2LBendel Insurance1–2
Bendel Insurance1–2L
Bida Lions0–2
Bida Lions0–2Head to Head · 7 matches
4
Nasarawa United
57%
0
Draws
0%
3
Warri Wolves
43%
71%
Over 1.5
5/7
57%
Over 2.5
4/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
43%
BTTS
3/7
19/04/26Warri Wolves
Nasarawa United
3–0Warri Wolves30/11/25Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
1–0Nasarawa United09/06/21Warri Wolves
Nasarawa United
3–1Warri Wolves24/01/21Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
1–2Nasarawa United20/01/20Warri Wolves
Nasarawa United
1–2Warri Wolves04/09/16Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
1–0Nasarawa United01/05/16Warri Wolves
Nasarawa United
2–0Warri Wolves| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rivers United | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 |  Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 |  Sporting Lagos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 4 | Plateau United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  Barau FC | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | Nasarawa United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |  Kano Pillars | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Doma United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Ikorodu City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 | Niger Tornadoes | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |  Katsina United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 |  Kwara United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 |  Shooting Stars | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 |  Abia Warriors | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  Kun Khalifat FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Enyimba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 19 |  Ranchers Bees | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 20 |  Inter Lagos | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
Nasarawa United- ●Nasarawa United have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Nasarawa United have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Nasarawa United have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Nasarawa United have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Nasarawa United have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Nasarawa United have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●87% of Nasarawa United's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Nasarawa United have scored 70% of their goals in the first half.
Warri Wolves- ●82% of Warri Wolves's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Nasarawa UnitedWAInter Lagos2–0
Inter Lagos2–0WHDoma United2–0
Doma United2–0DAShooting Stars0–0
Shooting Stars0–0WHNiger Tornadoes1–0
Niger Tornadoes1–0LAKwara United1–2
Kwara United1–2DHRivers United1–1
Rivers United1–1–HEnyimba25/10
Enyimba25/10–AKano Pillars01/11
Kano Pillars01/11–HPlateau United08/11
Plateau United08/11Warri WolvesDAEnyimba0–0
Enyimba0–0WHInter Lagos3–1
Inter Lagos3–1LADoma United0–1
Doma United0–1LHEnugu Rangers0–1
Enugu Rangers0–1WHShooting Stars1–0
Shooting Stars1–0DANiger Tornadoes0–0
Niger Tornadoes0–0–HKano Pillars25/10
Kano Pillars25/10–APlateau United01/11
Plateau United01/11–HKatsina United08/11
Katsina United08/11Top Scorers
Nasarawa UnitedS. Dapma2 ⚽
H. Ebah1 ⚽
J. Istifanus1 ⚽
K. Ogbodo1 ⚽
L. Ugochukwu1 ⚽
P. Samuel1 ⚽
Warri WolvesA. Emmanuel2 ⚽
E. Itolowo1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Cards Given
Nasarawa United8 🟨
Warri Wolves5 🟨