Sporting Lagos vs Kwara United — NPFL
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Sporting Lagos and Kwara United meet in the NPFL 2027 season on 22 November 2026. Sporting Lagos have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Kwara United have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.11 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for Sporting Lagos and 0.62 for Kwara United. The models give Sporting Lagos a 52% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Kwara United win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30% and BTTS at 34%.
Season Statistics
Sporting Lagos—
Kwara United3º
Position
13º
1.67
PPG
1.22
44%
Win %
33%
1.44
Goals / game
1.11
1.22
Conceded / game
1.11
56%
BTTS %
44%
22%
Clean sheet %
11%
44%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Sporting Lagos
Home (4)
—
Kwara United
Away (4)
1.25
PPG
0.00
25%
Win %
0%
0.75
Goals / game
0.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.25
50%
BTTS %
0%
25%
Clean sheet %
0%
25%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Sporting Lagos | Home | Away | Kwara United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 50% | 80% | 56% | 100% | 0% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 25% | 60% | 44% | 80% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 0% | 60% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 50% | 20% | 44% | 0% | 100% |
Goals Conceded
| Sporting Lagos | Home | Away | Kwara United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 75% | 80% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 25% | 60% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 25% | 20% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sporting Lagos | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 0% |
| BTTS | 56% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sporting Lagos | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 56% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 22% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Sporting Lagos (H)W
Bendel Insurance2–1
Bendel Insurance2–1D
Ikorodu City0–0
Ikorodu City0–0D
Barau FC1–1
Barau FC1–1L
Abia Warriors0–2
Abia Warriors0–2W
Enyimba2–1
Enyimba2–1L
Plateau United1–2
Plateau United1–2Kwara United (A)LIkorodu City0–2
Ikorodu City0–2L
Kun Khalifat FC0–1
Kun Khalifat FC0–1L
Warri Wolves0–1
Warri Wolves0–1LPlateau United0–1
Plateau United0–1L
Bayelsa United0–4
Bayelsa United0–4D
Niger Tornadoes2–2
Niger Tornadoes2–2Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Sporting Lagos
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Kwara United
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
17/03/24Kwara United
Sporting Lagos
2–0Kwara United01/11/23Sporting Lagos
Kwara United
2–1Sporting Lagos| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rivers United | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 |  Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 | Sporting Lagos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 4 | Plateau United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Barau FC | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Nasarawa United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |  Kano Pillars | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Doma United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Ikorodu City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 | Niger Tornadoes | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |  Katsina United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Kwara United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 |  Shooting Stars | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Abia Warriors | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Kun Khalifat FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Enyimba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 19 |  Ranchers Bees | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 20 |  Inter Lagos | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
Sporting Lagos- ●Sporting Lagos have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●77% of Sporting Lagos's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Sporting Lagos's points have been earned away.
- ●Sporting Lagos have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Kwara United- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Kwara United have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kwara United have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kwara United have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●100% of Kwara United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Kwara United's points have been earned at home.
- ●Kwara United have conceded 80% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Sporting LagosWAPlateau United3–2
Plateau United3–2WHBendel Insurance2–1
Bendel Insurance2–1DAKano Pillars1–1
Kano Pillars1–1DHIkorodu City0–0
Ikorodu City0–0DHBarau FC1–1
Barau FC1–1WAEnyimba3–2
Enyimba3–2–HEnugu Rangers24/10
Enugu Rangers24/10–AKatsina United01/11
Katsina United01/11–HRivers United07/11
Rivers United07/11Kwara UnitedDHAbia Warriors1–1
Abia Warriors1–1LAIkorodu City0–2
Ikorodu City0–2WHRanchers Bees2–1
Ranchers Bees2–1LAKun Khalifat FC0–1
Kun Khalifat FC0–1WHNasarawa United2–1
Nasarawa United2–1LAWarri Wolves0–1
Warri Wolves0–1–ABarau FC25/10
Barau FC25/10–HBendel Insurance01/11
Bendel Insurance01/11–AEnugu Rangers08/11
Enugu Rangers08/11Top Scorers
Sporting LagosA. Baba2 ⚽
S. Ayoade2 ⚽
V. Samuel2 ⚽
V. Ugwu2 ⚽
H. Haruna1 ⚽
G. Olaniya1 ⚽
Kwara UnitedG. Chukwu1 ⚽
T. Gidado1 ⚽
Cards Given
Sporting Lagos9 🟨
Kwara United6 🟨