Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United — NPFL
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Niger Tornadoes and Kwara United meet in the NPFL 2027 season on 29 November 2026. Niger Tornadoes have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 0.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Kwara United have won 30% of their 10 matches, with 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Niger Tornadoes and 0.55 for Kwara United. The models give Niger Tornadoes a 54% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Kwara United win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 31% and BTTS at 32%.
Season Statistics
Niger Tornadoes—
Kwara United9º
Position
13º
1.50
PPG
1.20
40%
Win %
30%
0.90
Goals / game
1.10
0.80
Conceded / game
1.10
40%
BTTS %
50%
40%
Clean sheet %
10%
30%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Niger Tornadoes
Home (5)
—
Kwara United
Away (5)
2.20
PPG
0.20
60%
Win %
0%
1.20
Goals / game
0.20
0.60
Conceded / game
1.20
60%
BTTS %
20%
40%
Clean sheet %
0%
40%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Niger Tornadoes | Home | Away | Kwara United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 80% | 40% | 60% | 100% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 40% | 20% | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 20% | 60% | 40% | 0% | 80% |
Goals Conceded
| Niger Tornadoes | Home | Away | Kwara United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 60% | 60% | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Niger Tornadoes | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 40% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 0% |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Niger Tornadoes | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 60% |
| Scored 1st Half | 20% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 70% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 60% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 20% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 10% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Niger Tornadoes (H)W
Ikorodu City2–1
Ikorodu City2–1W
Kun Khalifat FC1–0
Kun Khalifat FC1–0D
Warri Wolves0–0
Warri Wolves0–0D
Plateau United1–1
Plateau United1–1W
Enyimba2–1
Enyimba2–1W
Shooting Stars1–0
Shooting Stars1–0Kwara United (A)D
Barau FC1–1
Barau FC1–1LIkorodu City0–2
Ikorodu City0–2LKun Khalifat FC0–1
Kun Khalifat FC0–1LWarri Wolves0–1
Warri Wolves0–1LPlateau United0–1
Plateau United0–1L
Bayelsa United0–4
Bayelsa United0–4Head to Head · 12 matches
4
Niger Tornadoes
33%
4
Draws
33%
4
Kwara United
33%
75%
Over 1.5
9/12
33%
Over 2.5
4/12
17%
Over 3.5
2/12
42%
BTTS
5/12
03/05/26Kwara United
Niger Tornadoes
2–2Kwara United07/12/25Niger Tornadoes
Kwara United
2–0Niger Tornadoes30/01/25Kwara United
Niger Tornadoes
2–1Kwara United08/09/24Niger Tornadoes
Kwara United
1–2Niger Tornadoes02/06/24Kwara United
Niger Tornadoes
1–1Kwara United17/12/23Niger Tornadoes
Kwara United
0–0Niger Tornadoes25/06/22Kwara United
Niger Tornadoes
4–0Kwara United27/02/22Niger Tornadoes
Kwara United
1–0Niger Tornadoes26/05/19Kwara United
Niger Tornadoes
0–1Kwara United20/02/19Niger Tornadoes
Kwara United
2–0Niger Tornadoes13/05/18Kwara United
Niger Tornadoes
1–1Kwara United14/01/18Niger Tornadoes
Kwara United
0–2Niger Tornadoes| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rivers United | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 2 |  Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 |  Nasarawa United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 4 | Plateau United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | Barau FC | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bendel Insurance | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |  Sporting Lagos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kano Pillars | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 | Niger Tornadoes | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Doma United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Ikorodu City | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Katsina United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Kwara United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Shooting Stars | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Kun Khalifat FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 17 |  Abia Warriors | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 |  Ranchers Bees | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 19 | Enyimba | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 20 |  Inter Lagos | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Team Insights
Niger Tornadoes- ●Niger Tornadoes have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Niger Tornadoes have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Niger Tornadoes have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Niger Tornadoes's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Niger Tornadoes have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Kwara United- ●Kwara United have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Kwara United have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kwara United have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Kwara United have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●91% of Kwara United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●92% of Kwara United's points have been earned at home.
- ●Kwara United have conceded 82% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Niger TornadoesWAAbia Warriors1–0
Abia Warriors1–0WHIkorodu City2–1
Ikorodu City2–1DARanchers Bees0–0
Ranchers Bees0–0WHKun Khalifat FC1–0
Kun Khalifat FC1–0LANasarawa United0–1
Nasarawa United0–1DHWarri Wolves0–0
Warri Wolves0–0–HBarau FC30/10
Barau FC30/10–ABendel Insurance08/11
Bendel Insurance08/11–HEnugu Rangers15/11
Enugu Rangers15/11Kwara UnitedDABarau FC1–1
Barau FC1–1DHAbia Warriors1–1
Abia Warriors1–1LAIkorodu City0–2
Ikorodu City0–2WHRanchers Bees2–1
Ranchers Bees2–1LAKun Khalifat FC0–1
Kun Khalifat FC0–1WHNasarawa United2–1
Nasarawa United2–1–HBendel Insurance01/11
Bendel Insurance01/11–AEnugu Rangers08/11
Enugu Rangers08/11–HRivers United15/11
Rivers United15/11Top Scorers
Niger TornadoesM. Bashir2 ⚽
I. Sarki1 ⚽
M. Aliyu1 ⚽
O. Nafiu1 ⚽
W. Jimoh1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Kwara UnitedG. Chukwu1 ⚽
Kano1 ⚽
T. Gidado1 ⚽
Cards Given
Niger Tornadoes10 🟨
Kwara United6 🟨