Sporting Lagos vs Niger Tornadoes — NPFL
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Sporting Lagos and Niger Tornadoes meet in the NPFL 2027 season on 5 December 2026. Sporting Lagos have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Niger Tornadoes have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 0.82 goals scored and 0.73 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 27%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for Sporting Lagos and 0.76 for Niger Tornadoes. The models give Sporting Lagos a 46% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Niger Tornadoes win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 31% and BTTS at 37%.
Season Statistics
Sporting Lagos—
Niger Tornadoes11º
Position
8º
1.50
PPG
1.45
40%
Win %
36%
1.40
Goals / game
0.82
1.30
Conceded / game
0.73
60%
BTTS %
36%
20%
Clean sheet %
45%
50%
Over 2.5 %
27%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Sporting Lagos
Home (4)
—
Niger Tornadoes
Away (5)
1.25
PPG
0.80
25%
Win %
20%
0.75
Goals / game
0.60
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
20%
25%
Clean sheet %
40%
25%
Over 2.5 %
20%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Sporting Lagos | Home | Away | Niger Tornadoes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 50% | 83% | 55% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 25% | 50% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 50% | 17% | 45% | 33% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Sporting Lagos | Home | Away | Niger Tornadoes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 75% | 83% | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 25% | 67% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% | 45% | 50% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sporting Lagos | Niger Tornadoes | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 27% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 9% |
| BTTS | 60% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sporting Lagos | Niger Tornadoes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 18% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 64% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 27% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 9% |
Recent Venue Form
Sporting Lagos (H)W
Bendel Insurance2–1
Bendel Insurance2–1D
Ikorodu City0–0
Ikorodu City0–0D
Barau FC1–1
Barau FC1–1L
Abia Warriors0–2
Abia Warriors0–2W
Enyimba2–1
Enyimba2–1L
Plateau United1–2
Plateau United1–2Niger Tornadoes (A)WAbia Warriors1–0
Abia Warriors1–0D
Ranchers Bees0–0
Ranchers Bees0–0L
Nasarawa United0–1
Nasarawa United0–1L
Katsina United0–1
Katsina United0–1L
Kano Pillars2–3
Kano Pillars2–3D
El Kanemi Warriors0–0
El Kanemi Warriors0–0Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Sporting Lagos
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Niger Tornadoes
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
13/03/24Sporting Lagos
Niger Tornadoes
1–0Sporting Lagos29/10/23Niger Tornadoes
Sporting Lagos
2–1Niger Tornadoes| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rivers United | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 |  Enugu Rangers | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 | Bendel Insurance | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 4 | Kano Pillars | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Nasarawa United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 6 | Plateau United | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Barau FC | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 | Niger Tornadoes | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Shooting Stars | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Doma United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Ikorodu City | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 14 |  Warri Wolves | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 |  Kwara United | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 |  Kun Khalifat FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Enyimba | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 11 |
| 18 | Abia Warriors | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 20 |  Inter Lagos | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 3 |
Team Insights
Sporting Lagos- ●Sporting Lagos have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●79% of Sporting Lagos's goals have been scored away.
- ●69% of Sporting Lagos's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●67% of Sporting Lagos's points have been earned away.
- ●Sporting Lagos have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Niger Tornadoes- ●Niger Tornadoes have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Niger Tornadoes have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Niger Tornadoes have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Niger Tornadoes have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Niger Tornadoes have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●67% of Niger Tornadoes's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Niger Tornadoes's points have been earned at home.
- ●Niger Tornadoes have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Sporting LagosLAKatsina United1–2
Katsina United1–2WAPlateau United3–2
Plateau United3–2WHBendel Insurance2–1
Bendel Insurance2–1DAKano Pillars1–1
Kano Pillars1–1DHIkorodu City0–0
Ikorodu City0–0DHBarau FC1–1
Barau FC1–1–HRivers United07/11
Rivers United07/11–AWarri Wolves15/11
Warri Wolves15/11–HKwara United22/11
Kwara United22/11Niger TornadoesDHBarau FC0–0
Barau FC0–0WAAbia Warriors1–0
Abia Warriors1–0WHIkorodu City2–1
Ikorodu City2–1DARanchers Bees0–0
Ranchers Bees0–0WHKun Khalifat FC1–0
Kun Khalifat FC1–0LANasarawa United0–1
Nasarawa United0–1–ABendel Insurance08/11
Bendel Insurance08/11–HEnugu Rangers15/11
Enugu Rangers15/11–ARivers United22/11
Rivers United22/11Top Scorers
Sporting LagosA. Baba2 ⚽
S. Ayoade2 ⚽
V. Samuel2 ⚽
V. Ugwu2 ⚽
H. Haruna1 ⚽
G. Olaniya1 ⚽
Niger TornadoesM. Bashir2 ⚽
I. Sarki1 ⚽
M. Aliyu1 ⚽
O. Nafiu1 ⚽
W. Jimoh1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Cards Given
Sporting Lagos9 🟨
Niger Tornadoes10 🟨