Kwara United vs Shooting Stars — NPFL
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Kwara United and Shooting Stars meet in the NPFL 2027 season on 6 December 2026. Kwara United have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Shooting Stars have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Kwara United and 0.92 for Shooting Stars. The models give Kwara United a 53% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Shooting Stars win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Kwara United—
Shooting Stars15º
Position
10º
1.09
PPG
1.36
27%
Win %
36%
1.09
Goals / game
1.45
1.18
Conceded / game
1.36
55%
BTTS %
55%
9%
Clean sheet %
27%
45%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Kwara United
Home (6)
—
Shooting Stars
Away (5)
1.83
PPG
0.20
50%
Win %
0%
1.83
Goals / game
1.00
1.17
Conceded / game
2.40
83%
BTTS %
60%
17%
Clean sheet %
0%
83%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Kwara United | Home | Away | Shooting Stars | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 100% | 20% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 67% | 0% | 55% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 17% | 0% | 18% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 0% | 80% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Kwara United | Home | Away | Shooting Stars | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 83% | 100% | 73% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 33% | 20% | 36% | 0% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 17% | 0% | 27% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kwara United | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 18% |
| BTTS | 55% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kwara United | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 55% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 18% |
| Loss 1st Half | 60% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 20% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Kwara United (H)L
Bendel Insurance1–2
Bendel Insurance1–2D
Abia Warriors1–1
Abia Warriors1–1W
Ranchers Bees2–1
Ranchers Bees2–1W
Nasarawa United2–1
Nasarawa United2–1W
Katsina United3–0
Katsina United3–0D
Kano Pillars2–2
Kano Pillars2–2Shooting Stars (A)D
Ikorodu City2–2
Ikorodu City2–2L
Kun Khalifat FC0–2
Kun Khalifat FC0–2L
Enyimba2–4
Enyimba2–4L
Warri Wolves0–1
Warri Wolves0–1L
Plateau United1–3
Plateau United1–3L
CS Sfaxien0–2
CS Sfaxien0–2Head to Head · 10 matches
2
Kwara United
20%
4
Draws
40%
4
Shooting Stars
40%
50%
Over 1.5
5/10
20%
Over 2.5
2/10
10%
Over 3.5
1/10
30%
BTTS
3/10
12/04/26Kwara United
Shooting Stars
0–0Kwara United23/11/25Shooting Stars
Kwara United
0–0Shooting Stars12/02/25Shooting Stars
Kwara United
2–0Shooting Stars29/12/24Kwara United
Shooting Stars
1–0Kwara United03/04/24Kwara United
Shooting Stars
2–0Kwara United12/11/23Shooting Stars
Kwara United
1–1Shooting Stars02/04/23Shooting Stars
Kwara United
0–1Shooting Stars19/01/23Kwara United
Shooting Stars
0–0Kwara United15/05/22Shooting Stars
Kwara United
3–1Shooting Stars26/01/22Kwara United
Shooting Stars
2–1Kwara United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rivers United | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 |  Enugu Rangers | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 | Bendel Insurance | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 4 | Kano Pillars | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Nasarawa United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 6 | Plateau United | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 |  Barau FC | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Niger Tornadoes | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Shooting Stars | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Doma United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Ikorodu City | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Kwara United | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 | Kun Khalifat FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Enyimba | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 11 |
| 18 | Abia Warriors | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 20 |  Inter Lagos | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 3 |
Team Insights
Kwara United- ●Kwara United have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Kwara United have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Kwara United have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Kwara United have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●92% of Kwara United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●92% of Kwara United's points have been earned at home.
- ●Kwara United have conceded 82% of their goals in the first half.
Shooting Stars- ●Shooting Stars have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Shooting Stars have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Shooting Stars have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Shooting Stars failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Shooting Stars have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Shooting Stars have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Shooting Stars failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Shooting Stars have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Shooting Stars's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Shooting Stars's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●93% of Shooting Stars's points have been earned at home.
- ●Shooting Stars have scored 69% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Kwara UnitedLHBendel Insurance1–2
Bendel Insurance1–2DABarau FC1–1
Barau FC1–1DHAbia Warriors1–1
Abia Warriors1–1LAIkorodu City0–2
Ikorodu City0–2WHRanchers Bees2–1
Ranchers Bees2–1LAKun Khalifat FC0–1
Kun Khalifat FC0–1–AEnugu Rangers08/11
Enugu Rangers08/11–HRivers United15/11
Rivers United15/11–ASporting Lagos22/11
Sporting Lagos22/11Shooting StarsWHAbia Warriors4–1
Abia Warriors4–1DAIkorodu City2–2
Ikorodu City2–2WHRanchers Bees3–1
Ranchers Bees3–1LAKun Khalifat FC0–2
Kun Khalifat FC0–2DHKano Pillars0–0
Kano Pillars0–0DHNasarawa United0–0
Nasarawa United0–0–ABarau FC08/11
Barau FC08/11–HBendel Insurance15/11
Bendel Insurance15/11–AEnugu Rangers22/11
Enugu Rangers22/11Top Scorers
Kwara UnitedG. Chukwu1 ⚽
Kano1 ⚽
T. Gidado1 ⚽
Shooting StarsS. Ibrahim3 ⚽
Q. Adegoke2 ⚽
D. Ojietefian2 ⚽
D. Akinola2 ⚽
L. Emmanuel1 ⚽
R. O. Olanrewaju1 ⚽
Cards Given
Kwara United6 🟨
Shooting Stars5 🟨
G. Adelowo3 🟨
A. Mustapha1 🟨
T. Otaniyi1 🟨