Doma United vs Kwara United — NPFL
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Doma United and Kwara United meet in the NPFL 2027 season on 12 December 2026. Doma United have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Kwara United have won 25% of their 12 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Doma United and 0.61 for Kwara United. The models give Doma United a 56% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Kwara United win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 35% and BTTS at 36%.
Season Statistics
Doma United—
Kwara United10º
Position
17º
1.45
PPG
1.00
36%
Win %
25%
1.36
Goals / game
1.00
1.36
Conceded / game
1.17
55%
BTTS %
50%
36%
Clean sheet %
8%
45%
Over 2.5 %
42%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Doma United
Home (6)
—
Kwara United
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
0.17
50%
Win %
0%
1.67
Goals / game
0.17
0.83
Conceded / game
1.17
50%
BTTS %
17%
50%
Clean sheet %
0%
33%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Doma United | Home | Away | Kwara United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 100% | 80% | 58% | 100% | 17% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 67% | 20% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 0% | 20% | 42% | 0% | 83% |
Goals Conceded
| Doma United | Home | Away | Kwara United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 50% | 80% | 92% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 33% | 80% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 50% | 20% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Doma United | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 8% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 0% |
| BTTS | 55% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 36% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Doma United | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 18% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 64% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 27% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 73% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 82% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 18% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Doma United (H)D
Ikorodu City2–2
Ikorodu City2–2D
Kun Khalifat FC1–1
Kun Khalifat FC1–1W
Warri Wolves1–0
Warri Wolves1–0D
Plateau United2–2
Plateau United2–2W
Enyimba2–0
Enyimba2–0W
Sporting Lagos2–0
Sporting Lagos2–0Kwara United (A)L
Enugu Rangers0–1
Enugu Rangers0–1D
Barau FC1–1
Barau FC1–1LIkorodu City0–2
Ikorodu City0–2LKun Khalifat FC0–1
Kun Khalifat FC0–1LWarri Wolves0–1
Warri Wolves0–1LPlateau United0–1
Plateau United0–1Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Doma United
0%
2
Draws
100%
0
Kwara United
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
27/04/24Kwara United
Doma United
0–0Kwara United06/12/23Doma United
Kwara United
0–0Doma United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 24 |
| 2 |  Bendel Insurance | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | +2 | 21 |
| 3 |  Nasarawa United | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 4 | Barau FC | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Kano Pillars | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | +3 | 19 |
| 6 |  Rivers United | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +10 | 18 |
| 7 |  Shooting Stars | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Katsina United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Plateau United | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 | Doma United | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 |  Niger Tornadoes | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Ikorodu City | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 13 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 15 | Kun Khalifat FC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 16 |  Ranchers Bees | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 17 | Kwara United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 12 |
| 18 | Enyimba | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 |  Abia Warriors | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 |  Inter Lagos | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
Team Insights
Doma United- ●Doma United have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Doma United have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Doma United have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Doma United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Doma United have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Doma United have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Doma United failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Doma United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Doma United's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Doma United's points have been earned at home.
Kwara United- ●Kwara United have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Kwara United have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Kwara United have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kwara United have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●92% of Kwara United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●92% of Kwara United's points have been earned at home.
- ●Kwara United have conceded 83% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Doma UnitedDAAbia Warriors2–2
Abia Warriors2–2DHIkorodu City2–2
Ikorodu City2–2DHKun Khalifat FC1–1
Kun Khalifat FC1–1LANasarawa United0–2
Nasarawa United0–2WHWarri Wolves1–0
Warri Wolves1–0LAKatsina United1–2
Katsina United1–2–HBarau FC14/11
Barau FC14/11–ARanchers Bees18/11
Ranchers Bees18/11–ABendel Insurance22/11
Bendel Insurance22/11Kwara UnitedLAEnugu Rangers0–1
Enugu Rangers0–1LHBendel Insurance1–2
Bendel Insurance1–2DABarau FC1–1
Barau FC1–1DHAbia Warriors1–1
Abia Warriors1–1LAIkorodu City0–2
Ikorodu City0–2WHRanchers Bees2–1
Ranchers Bees2–1–HRivers United15/11
Rivers United15/11–ASporting Lagos22/11
Sporting Lagos22/11–ANiger Tornadoes29/11
Niger Tornadoes29/11Top Scorers
Doma UnitedM. Adegbite3 ⚽
R. Sadiq3 ⚽
B. Philimon2 ⚽
2 ⚽
A. Tijani2 ⚽
N. Agu1 ⚽
Kwara UnitedG. Chukwu2 ⚽
G. Ogbolu1 ⚽
T. Gidado1 ⚽
Cards Given
Doma United11 🟨
S. Ulunwa1 🟨
Kwara United6 🟨