Katsina United vs Abia Warriors — NPFL
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Muhammadu Dikko Stadium·Katsina·Nigeria·35,000
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Katsina United and Abia Warriors meet in the NPFL 2027 season on 13 December 2026. Katsina United have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Abia Warriors have won 17% of their 12 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.93 for Katsina United and 0.89 for Abia Warriors. The models give Katsina United a 59% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Abia Warriors win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Katsina United—
Abia Warriors7º
Position
19º
1.42
PPG
0.92
33%
Win %
17%
1.25
Goals / game
1.00
1.33
Conceded / game
1.58
67%
BTTS %
42%
8%
Clean sheet %
33%
42%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Katsina United
Home (6)
—
Abia Warriors
Away (6)
2.33
PPG
0.67
67%
Win %
17%
2.00
Goals / game
0.83
1.17
Conceded / game
2.33
83%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Clean sheet %
17%
67%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Katsina United | Home | Away | Abia Warriors | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 67% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 17% | 0% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Katsina United | Home | Away | Abia Warriors | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 83% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 17% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Katsina United | Abia Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS | 67% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 42% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Katsina United | Abia Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Katsina United (H)W
Sporting Lagos2–1
Sporting Lagos2–1D
Plateau United2–2
Plateau United2–2W
Enyimba4–2
Enyimba4–2D
Rivers United1–1
Rivers United1–1W
Doma United2–1
Doma United2–1W
Niger Tornadoes1–0
Niger Tornadoes1–0Abia Warriors (A)L
Shooting Stars1–4
Shooting Stars1–4D
Kwara United1–1
Kwara United1–1L
Enugu Rangers1–3
Enugu Rangers1–3L
Barau FC0–2
Barau FC0–2WSporting Lagos2–0
Sporting Lagos2–0L
Ranchers Bees0–4
Ranchers Bees0–4Head to Head · 15 matches
7
Katsina United
47%
2
Draws
13%
6
Abia Warriors
40%
73%
Over 1.5
11/15
40%
Over 2.5
6/15
20%
Over 3.5
3/15
47%
BTTS
7/15
01/02/26Abia Warriors
Katsina United
2–0Abia Warriors14/09/25Katsina United
Abia Warriors
1–0Katsina United19/04/25Abia Warriors
Katsina United
5–1Abia Warriors27/11/24Katsina United
Abia Warriors
2–0Katsina United24/03/24Abia Warriors
Katsina United
2–1Abia Warriors05/11/23Katsina United
Abia Warriors
2–1Katsina United27/04/22Abia Warriors
Katsina United
2–1Abia Warriors19/03/22Katsina United
Abia Warriors
2–2Katsina United01/08/21Abia Warriors
Katsina United
1–0Abia Warriors21/03/21Katsina United
Abia Warriors
3–1Katsina United23/02/20Abia Warriors
Katsina United
1–0Abia Warriors03/11/19Katsina United
Abia Warriors
2–0Katsina United15/04/18Katsina United
Abia Warriors
1–1Katsina United04/06/17Abia Warriors
Katsina United
1–0Abia Warriors18/01/17Katsina United
Abia Warriors
2–0Katsina United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 24 |
| 2 |  Bendel Insurance | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | +3 | 21 |
| 3 |  Nasarawa United | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 4 | Barau FC | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Kano Pillars | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | +3 | 19 |
| 6 | Rivers United | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +10 | 18 |
| 7 | Katsina United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Plateau United | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 | Doma United | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Niger Tornadoes | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Shooting Stars | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 |  Ikorodu City | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 14 |  Warri Wolves | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 15 |  Kun Khalifat FC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 16 | Ranchers Bees | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 17 | Kwara United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 12 |
| 18 | Enyimba | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | Abia Warriors | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 |  Inter Lagos | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 3 |
Team Insights
Katsina United- ●Katsina United have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Katsina United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Katsina United have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Katsina United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Katsina United have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Katsina United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Katsina United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Katsina United have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Katsina United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●80% of Katsina United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●82% of Katsina United's points have been earned at home.
- ●Katsina United have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Abia Warriors- ●Abia Warriors have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Abia Warriors have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Abia Warriors failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Abia Warriors have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●74% of Abia Warriors's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Abia Warriors have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Katsina UnitedDAWarri Wolves1–1
Warri Wolves1–1WHSporting Lagos2–1
Sporting Lagos2–1DHPlateau United2–2
Plateau United2–2LAKano Pillars0–1
Kano Pillars0–1WHEnyimba4–2
Enyimba4–2DAInter Lagos1–1
Inter Lagos1–1–HNasarawa United15/11
Nasarawa United15/11–AKun Khalifat FC22/11
Kun Khalifat FC22/11–HRanchers Bees29/11
Ranchers Bees29/11Abia WarriorsDHDoma United2–2
Doma United2–2LAShooting Stars1–4
Shooting Stars1–4LHNiger Tornadoes0–1
Niger Tornadoes0–1DAKwara United1–1
Kwara United1–1DHRivers United0–0
Rivers United0–0LAEnugu Rangers1–3
Enugu Rangers1–3–AInter Lagos15/11
Inter Lagos15/11–HEnyimba22/11
Enyimba22/11–AKano Pillars29/11
Kano Pillars29/11Top Scorers
Katsina UnitedL. Dadong4 ⚽
S. Mubarak1 ⚽
U. Rabiu1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Abia WarriorsC. Obioma5 ⚽
E. Ikoi2 ⚽
1 ⚽
Cards Given
Katsina United5 🟨
K. Jinadu2 🟨
Abia Warriors6 🟨