Nairobi United vs Tusker — FKF Premier League
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Nairobi United and Tusker meet in the FKF Premier League 2026 season on 20 November 2026. Nairobi United have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Tusker have won 55% of their 11 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Nairobi United and 1.03 for Tusker. The models give Nairobi United a 43% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Tusker win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Nairobi UnitedTuskerHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Nairobi United | Home | Away | Tusker | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 75% | 67% | 82% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 25% | 67% | 45% | 33% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 25% | 33% | 18% | 33% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Nairobi United | Home | Away | Tusker | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 100% | 33% | 64% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 18% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 0% | 67% | 36% | 50% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nairobi United | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS | 57% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 43% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nairobi United | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 14% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Nairobi United (H)
Bandari1–1
APS Bomet1–1
KCB2–2
Police0–0
Posta Rangers FC2–2Tusker1–0Tusker (A)
Mathare United1–2
Singida Black Stars1–1
Ulinzi Stars2–0
Al Ahli Wad Medani2–2
Al Hilal Omdurman0–2Ulinzi Stars0–2Head to Head · 3 matches
TuskerNairobi UnitedTusker| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | KCB | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 |  3K | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 |  Murang'a SEAL | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 | Tusker | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Migori Youth | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | APS Bomet | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Shabana | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 |  Mara Sugar | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Mathare United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Nairobi United | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Bandari | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 |  Homeboyz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Posta Rangers FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Nairobi United- ●Nairobi United have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Nairobi United have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
Tusker—
Season Schedule
Nairobi UnitedBandari1–1Murang'a SEAL2–3APS Bomet1–1Shabana0–0KCB2–2GOR Mahia08/11Mara Sugar14/11Tusker20/11TuskerMara Sugar3–1Mathare United1–2Ulinzi Stars2–0Bandari08/11Shabana15/11Nairobi United20/11Top Scorers
Nairobi UnitedTusker