Nairobi United vs Migori Youth — FKF Premier League
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Nairobi United and Migori Youth meet in the FKF Premier League 2026 season on 11 December 2026. Nairobi United have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Migori Youth have won 20% of their 5 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 20%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Nairobi United and 1.02 for Migori Youth. The models give Nairobi United a 44% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Migori Youth win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Nairobi UnitedMigori YouthHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Nairobi United | Home | Away | Migori Youth | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 25% | 50% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Nairobi United | Home | Away | Migori Youth | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 100% | 50% | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 0% | 50% | 40% | 67% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nairobi United | Migori Youth | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 63% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 50% | 40% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nairobi United | Migori Youth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 0% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Nairobi United (H)
Bandari1–1
APS Bomet1–1
KCB2–2
Police0–0
Posta Rangers FC2–2
Tusker1–0Migori Youth (A)
Mara Sugar1–2
Shabana1–1
3K1–1
Kisumu All Stars1–0
Fortune Sacco0–1
Mombasa Elite0–0Head to Head · 4 matches
Nairobi UnitedMigori YouthMigori YouthNairobi United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 | KCB | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 | Shabana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 | Mara Sugar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | 3K | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Bandari | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Posta Rangers FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Tusker | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 | Migori Youth | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 | APS Bomet | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Nairobi United | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | Mombasa Elite | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
Team Insights
Nairobi United- ●Nairobi United have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Nairobi United have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Nairobi United have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Migori Youth- ●Migori Youth have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Migori Youth have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●83% of Migori Youth's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Nairobi UnitedGOR Mahia1–1Bandari1–1Murang'a SEAL2–3APS Bomet1–1Shabana0–0KCB2–2Tusker20/113K25/11Posta Rangers FC29/11Migori YouthMara Sugar1–2Mombasa Elite2–0Shabana1–1Mathare United0–0Kenya Police1–1Ulinzi Stars14/11AFC Leopards21/11APS Bomet25/11Top Scorers
Nairobi UnitedMigori Youth