Malta · Challenge League · Regular Season - 10

Mgarr United

4º · 2.25 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 40d 21h

–

Pietà Hotspurs

8º · 1.50 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 40d 23h

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Mgarr United and Pietà Hotspurs meet in the Challenge League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Mgarr United have recorded 3 wins from 5 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Pietà Hotspurs have won 60% of their 5 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 40%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Mgarr United and 1.60 for Pietà Hotspurs. The models give Mgarr United a 34% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Pietà Hotspurs win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.

Season Statistics

Mgarr United

—

Pietà Hotspurs

4º

Position

8º

2.25

PPG

1.50

75%

Win %

50%

1.75

Goals / game

2.00

1.00

Conceded / game

2.00

40%

BTTS %

60%

40%

Clean sheet %

40%

Over 2.5 %

60%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Mgarr United

Home (2)

—

Pietà Hotspurs

Away (2)

1.50

PPG

1.50

50%

Win %

50%

1.50

Goals / game

2.00

1.50

Conceded / game

1.50

33%

BTTS %

50%

33%

Clean sheet %

50%

33%

Over 2.5 %

50%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Mgarr United	Home	Away	Pietà Hotspurs	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	80%	67%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	60%	33%	100%	80%	67%	100%
Over 2.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	20%	33%	0%
Failed To Score	20%	33%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Mgarr United	Home	Away	Pietà Hotspurs	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	60%	67%	50%	60%	67%	50%
Over 1.5 Conceded	20%	33%	0%	60%	67%	50%
Over 2.5 Conceded	20%	33%	0%	40%	33%	50%
Clean Sheets	40%	33%	50%	40%	33%	50%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Mgarr United	Pietà Hotspurs
Over 0.5	100%	100%
Over 1.5	80%	100%
Over 2.5	40%	60%
Over 3.5	20%	60%
Over 4.5	0%	40%
BTTS	40%	60%
BTTS & Win	20%	20%
BTTS & Draw	0%	0%
BTTS & Over 2.5	40%	60%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Mgarr United	Pietà Hotspurs
Win 1st Half	60%	60%
Draw 1st Half	0%	20%
Loss 1st Half	40%	20%
Scored 1st Half	60%	100%
Conceded 1st Half	40%	40%
Win 2nd Half	40%	40%
Draw 2nd Half	40%	20%
Loss 2nd Half	20%	40%
Scored 2nd Half	60%	60%
Conceded 2nd Half	40%	40%
Over 0.5 HT	100%	100%
Over 1.5 HT	40%	60%

Recent Venue Form

Mgarr United (H)

Zurrieq0–1

Vittoriosa Stars2–0

Tarxien Rainbows1–3

Gudja United0–2

Santa Lucía1–1

Vittoriosa Stars1–1

Pietà Hotspurs (A)

Melita2–0

Swieqi United2–3

Sirens4–3

Fgura United4–0

Birzebbuga2–2

Swieqi United1–0

Head to Head · 5 matches

Mgarr United

40%

Draws

20%

Pietà Hotspurs

40%

100%

Over 1.5

5/5

60%

Over 2.5

3/5

40%

Over 3.5

2/5

40%

BTTS

2/5

13/12/25

Pietà Hotspurs

1–1

Mgarr United

22/02/25

Mgarr United

3–2

Pietà Hotspurs

23/11/24

Mgarr United

4–0

Pietà Hotspurs

13/02/22

Mgarr United

0–2

Pietà Hotspurs

23/11/21

Pietà Hotspurs

3–0

Mgarr United

Challenge League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tarxien Rainbows	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Fgura United	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Naxxar Lions	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Mgarr United	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Swieqi United	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Melita	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	St. Andrews	5	2	1	2	-3	7
8	Pietà Hotspurs	4	2	0	2	0	6
9	Victoria Hotspurs	4	2	0	2	0	6
10	Vittoriosa Stars	4	1	2	1	0	5
11	Santa Lucía	5	0	5	0	0	5
12	Zurrieq	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Sirens	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Attard	5	0	3	2	-3	3
15	Zebbug Rangers	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	Gudja United	5	0	0	5	-8	0