Neftchi vs Al-Ittihad FC — AFC Champions League Elite
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Neftchi and Al-Ittihad FC meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 26 October 2026. Neftchi have recorded 22 wins from 34 matches this season (65% win rate), averaging 1.97 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Al-Ittihad FC have won 55% of their 20 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 85%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Neftchi and 1.45 for Al-Ittihad FC. The models give Neftchi a 41% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Al-Ittihad FC win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
NeftchiAl-Ittihad FCHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Neftchi | Home | Away | Al-Ittihad FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 94% | 78% | 95% | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 69% | 50% | 60% | 67% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 44% | 22% | 25% | 33% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 6% | 22% | 5% | 0% | 7% |
Goals Conceded
| Neftchi | Home | Away | Al-Ittihad FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 56% | 50% | 85% | 100% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 13% | 28% | 35% | 33% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 0% | 28% | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 44% | 50% | 15% | 0% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Neftchi | Al-Ittihad FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 30% |
| BTTS | 44% | 85% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 45% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 70% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 26% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Neftchi | Al-Ittihad FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 65% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 85% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 64% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 55% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 12% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 24% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 65% |
Recent Venue Form
Neftchi (H)
Xorazm2–2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–0
Surkhon2–1
Pakhtakor1–0
Sogdiana3–0
Qizilqum5–0Al-Ittihad FC (A)
Al-Hilal Saudi FC2–3
Al Shamal1–1
Al-Faisaly FC3–1
Al-Fateh0–0
Al-Qadisiyah FC1–0
Al Najma3–0Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Neftchi | Al-Ittihad FC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 80% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 60% | 59% |
| Over 8 | 100% | 50% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 100% | 50% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 50% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 30% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 50% | 30% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 20% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Neftchi | Al-Ittihad FC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.5 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 30% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 1 |  Kashima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Esteghlal FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 |  Gamba Osaka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 3 |  Beijing Guoan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 |  Johor Darul Takzim FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 |  Daejeon Citizen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Neftchi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Kyoto Sanga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 |  Buriram United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Al-Ittihad FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 |  Tractor Sazi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Port FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |  Al-Gharafa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 |  Ratchaburi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Công An Nhân Dân | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 14 |  Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 |  Pohang Steelers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 |
| 16 |  Al Sadd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Season Schedule
NeftchiAl-Nassr1–3Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–0Al-Ittihad FC26/10Tractor Sazi02/11Al-Hilal Saudi FC23/11Al-Ittihad FCShabab Al Ahli Dubai1–2Al Shamal1–1
Al-Jazira4–1Neftchi26/10Al Ain02/11Pakhtakor23/11Top Scorers
NeftchiAl-Ittihad FCCards Given
NeftchiAl-Ittihad FC