Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa — AFC Champions League Elite
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Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al-Gharafa meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 26 October 2026. Al-Ahli Jeddah have recorded 10 wins from 23 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 2.17 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Al-Gharafa have won 33% of their 15 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.08 for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 1.25 for Al-Gharafa. The models give Al-Ahli Jeddah a 60% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Al-Gharafa win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-GharafaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | Home | Away | Al-Gharafa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 100% | 86% | 87% | 89% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 44% | 57% | 47% | 56% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 39% | 44% | 36% | 13% | 22% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | Home | Away | Al-Gharafa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 67% | 71% | 80% | 78% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 22% | 57% | 53% | 33% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 22% | 29% | 20% | 11% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 29% | 20% | 22% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 61% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 27% |
| BTTS | 61% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 73% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 26% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 52% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 65% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Al-Ahli Jeddah (H)
Pakhtakor1–1
Al-Hazm3–1
Al Riyadh5–0
Auckland1–0
Abha4–0
Fulham1–1Al-Gharafa (A)
Al Wakrah2–3
Al-Hilal Saudi FC1–2
Al Sadd1–4Al Sadd1–2Al Riyadh2–2
Šamorín1–2Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Gharafa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 83% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 83% | 59% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 67% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 30% | 67% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 20% | 50% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 50% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 33% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 33% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 90% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 30% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 30% | 33% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
Al-GharafaAl-GharafaAl-GharafaAl-Ahli Jeddah| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 1 |  Kashima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Esteghlal FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 |  Gamba Osaka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 3 |  Beijing Guoan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 |  Johor Darul Takzim FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 |  Daejeon Citizen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Neftchi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Kyoto Sanga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 |  Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 |  Buriram United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 |  Tractor Sazi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Port FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Al-Gharafa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 |  Ratchaburi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Công An Nhân Dân | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 14 |  Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 |  Pohang Steelers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Sadd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Season Schedule
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Wasl FC3–1Pakhtakor1–1Al-Gharafa26/10Al Sadd02/11Al Shamal23/11Al-GharafaEsteghlal FC1–2Al-Hilal Saudi FC1–2Al-Ahli Jeddah26/10Al-Qadisiyah FC02/11Al Quwa Al Jawiya23/11Top Scorers
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-GharafaCards Given
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Gharafa