Kashima vs Pohang Steelers — AFC Champions League Elite
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Kashima and Pohang Steelers meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Kashima have recorded 18 wins from 25 matches this season (72% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 0.72 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 60% of games. Pohang Steelers have won 38% of their 32 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.64 for Kashima and 1.12 for Pohang Steelers. The models give Kashima a 63% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Pohang Steelers win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
KashimaPohang SteelersHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Kashima | Home | Away | Pohang Steelers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 96% | 100% | 91% | 63% | 43% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 57% | 45% | 28% | 14% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 29% | 27% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 4% | 0% | 9% | 38% | 57% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Kashima | Home | Away | Pohang Steelers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 40% | 21% | 64% | 69% | 64% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 16% | 0% | 36% | 38% | 21% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 18% | 13% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 79% | 36% | 31% | 36% | 28% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kashima | Pohang Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 6% |
| BTTS | 36% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kashima | Pohang Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 34% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 23% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 64% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 5% | 34% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 77% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 23% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 19% |
Recent Venue Form
Kashima (H)
Newcastle Jets7–1
Urawa0–1
Suzuka Unlimited3–0
Avispa Fukuoka3–2
Nagoya Grampus2–1
Vegalta Sendai5–0Pohang Steelers (A)
Beijing Guoan1–3
Daejeon Citizen2–2
Jeonbuk Motors0–2
Gangwon FC0–0
Jeju United FC2–1
Bucheon FC 19950–3Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Kashima | Pohang Steelers | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 95% | 67% | 69% |
| Over 7 | 81% | 60% | 46% |
| Over 8 | 71% | 47% | 38% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 27% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 48% | 20% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 13% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 24% | 7% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 19% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kashima | Pohang Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.7 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 81% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 62% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 52% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 81% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 62% | 33% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 1 | Kashima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 3 |
| 2 |  Esteghlal FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Neftchi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 | Daejeon Citizen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Johor Darul Takzim FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Al Shamal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 |  Buriram United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 |  Pakhtakor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 |  Port FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 |  Al-Wasl FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 |  Kyoto Sanga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 |  Al-Gharafa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |  Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Pohang Steelers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Tractor Sazi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |  Công An Nhân Dân | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 |  Al Sadd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 16 |  Al-Nassr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Season Schedule
KashimaNewcastle Jets7–1Công An Nhân Dân13/10Pohang Steelers28/10Buriram United04/11Pohang SteelersBeijing Guoan1–3Johor Darul Takzim FC13/10Kashima28/10Gamba Osaka04/11Top Scorers
KashimaPohang SteelersCards Given
KashimaPohang Steelers