Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka — AFC Champions League Elite
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Pohang Steelers and Gamba Osaka meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 4 November 2026. Pohang Steelers have recorded 12 wins from 34 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 0.94 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Gamba Osaka have won 47% of their 32 matches, with 2.09 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Pohang Steelers and 1.65 for Gamba Osaka. The models give Pohang Steelers a 31% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Gamba Osaka win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pohang Steelers | Home | Away | Gamba Osaka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 59% | 40% | 74% | 81% | 81% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 13% | 37% | 59% | 63% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 7% | 11% | 34% | 38% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 41% | 60% | 26% | 19% | 19% | 19% |
Goals Conceded
| Pohang Steelers | Home | Away | Gamba Osaka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 67% | 74% | 72% | 69% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 27% | 53% | 38% | 31% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 0% | 26% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 33% | 26% | 28% | 31% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pohang Steelers | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 28% |
| BTTS | 38% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pohang Steelers | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 32% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 41% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Pohang Steelers | Gamba Osaka | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 72% | 73% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 61% | 64% | 59% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 59% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 41% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 28% | 27% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 18% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 14% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 9% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Pohang Steelers | Gamba Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 44% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 61% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 28% | 50% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | |
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | |
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | |
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | |
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | |
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | |
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | |
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | |
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | |
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | |
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | |
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | |
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 | |
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Team Insights
—
- ●Gamba Osaka have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Gamba Osaka's points have been earned away.