Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Gharafa — AFC Champions League Elite
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Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al-Gharafa meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 23 November 2026. Al Quwa Al Jawiya have recorded 2 wins from 13 matches this season (15% win rate), averaging 1.15 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Al-Gharafa have won 29% of their 17 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya and 1.42 for Al-Gharafa. The models give Al Quwa Al Jawiya a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Al-Gharafa win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl-GharafaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Al Quwa | Home | Away | Al-Gharafa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 67% | 71% | 82% | 82% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 23% | 0% | 43% | 47% | 55% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 0% | 43% | 12% | 18% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 33% | 29% | 18% | 18% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Al Quwa | Home | Away | Al-Gharafa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 83% | 86% | 76% | 73% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 17% | 43% | 53% | 36% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 17% | 14% | 18% | 9% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 17% | 14% | 24% | 27% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Al Quwa | Al-Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 24% |
| BTTS | 62% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Al Quwa | Al-Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 54% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Al Quwa (H)
Al-Karma0–0
Al Ain1–4
Diyala1–1
Al Zawra'a0–1
Naft Maysan1–1
Ghaz Al Shamal1–1Al-Gharafa (A)
Al Wakrah2–3
Al-Hilal Saudi FC1–2
Al Sadd1–4Al Sadd1–2
Al Riyadh2–2
Šamorín1–2Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Al Quwa | Al-Gharafa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 88% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 88% | 59% |
| Over 8 | 100% | 63% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 100% | 63% | 45% |
| Over 10 | 100% | 50% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 100% | 50% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 50% | 38% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 38% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Al Quwa | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 9.5 | 6.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 1 |  Kashima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Esteghlal FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 |  Gamba Osaka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 3 |  Vissel Kobe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beijing Guoan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 |  Johor Darul Takzim FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Daejeon Citizen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Neftchi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 8 |  Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Kyoto Sanga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 |  Buriram United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Tractor Sazi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Ratchaburi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 13 |  Công An Nhân Dân | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 | Al-Gharafa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Pohang Steelers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 |  Port FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Sadd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 |
Season Schedule
Al QuwaAl Ain1–4Neftchi0–1Pakhtakor26/10Al-Wasl FC02/11Al-Gharafa23/11Al-GharafaEsteghlal FC1–2Al-Hilal Saudi FC1–2Al-Ahli Jeddah26/10Al-Qadisiyah FC02/11Al Quwa Al Jawiya23/11Top Scorers
Al QuwaAl-GharafaCards Given
Al QuwaAl-Gharafa