Daejeon Citizen vs Beijing Guoan — AFC Champions League Elite
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Daejeon Citizen and Beijing Guoan meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 24 November 2026. Daejeon Citizen have recorded 15 wins from 39 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.54 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 49%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Beijing Guoan have won 55% of their 33 matches, with 1.97 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Daejeon Citizen and 1.36 for Beijing Guoan. The models give Daejeon Citizen a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Beijing Guoan win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Daejeon Citizen | Home | Away | Beijing Guoan | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 72% | 76% | 94% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 44% | 48% | 61% | 67% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 11% | 29% | 33% | 40% | 28% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 28% | 24% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Daejeon Citizen | Home | Away | Beijing Guoan | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 72% | 76% | 64% | 73% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 39% | 29% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 19% | 9% | 13% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 28% | 24% | 36% | 27% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Daejeon Citizen | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 18% |
| BTTS | 56% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Daejeon Citizen | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 52% |
| Draw 1st Half | 51% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 18% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 82% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Daejeon Citizen | Beijing Guoan | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 79% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 76% | 76% | 59% |
| Over 8 | 53% | 72% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 41% | 59% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 48% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 45% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 12% | 28% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 6% | 17% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Daejeon Citizen | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 5.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 76% | 72% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 59% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 59% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 53% | 41% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | |
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | |
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | |
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | |
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | |
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | |
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | |
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | |
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | |
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | |
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | |
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | |
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 | |
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |