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Esteghlal FC vs Neftchi — AFC Champions League Elite

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International · AFC Champions League Elite · League Phase - 6
Esteghlal FC
Esteghlal FC
3º · 2.25 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 2h
vs
–
–
Neftchi
Neftchi
9º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 2h
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Esteghlal FC and Neftchi meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 7 December 2026. Esteghlal FC have recorded 8 wins from 14 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 0.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 29% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 21%; and clean sheets in 64% of games. Neftchi have won 62% of their 39 matches, with 2.03 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 51%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 41%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.17 for Esteghlal FC and 1.45 for Neftchi. The models give Esteghlal FC a 53% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Neftchi win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 65%.

Season Statistics

Esteghlal FC
—
Neftchi
3º
Position
9º
2.25
PPG
1.00
75%
Win %
25%
1.50
Goals / game
1.25
0.75
Conceded / game
1.75
29%
BTTS %
51%
64%
Clean sheet %
41%
21%
Over 2.5 %
72%
2.5
Avg corners
6.5
10.0
Avg shots
12.0
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
12.3
Avg fouls
12.3
43.5%
Avg possession
48.5%

Home vs Away

Esteghlal FC
Home (2)
—
Neftchi
Away (2)
3.00
PPG
0.50
100%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
1.50
0.00
Conceded / game
2.50
14%
BTTS %
48%
86%
Clean sheet %
43%
29%
Over 2.5 %
67%
2.5
Avg corners
6.5
10.0
Avg shots
12.0
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
43.5%
Avg possession
48.5%

Goals Scored

Esteghlal FCHomeAwayNeftchiHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored79%100%57%87%94%81%
Over 1.5 Scored29%43%14%62%67%57%
Over 2.5 Scored14%29%0%33%39%29%
Failed To Score21%0%43%13%6%19%

Goals Conceded

Esteghlal FCHomeAwayNeftchiHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded36%14%57%59%61%57%
Over 1.5 Conceded7%0%14%28%22%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%15%6%24%
Clean Sheets64%86%43%41%39%43%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Esteghlal FCNeftchi
Over 0.586%95%
Over 1.557%79%
Over 2.521%72%
Over 3.57%41%
Over 4.50%23%
BTTS29%51%
BTTS & Win7%26%
BTTS & Draw21%8%
BTTS & Over 2.57%49%
BTTS No & Over 2.514%23%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Esteghlal FCNeftchi
Win 1st Half43%34%
Draw 1st Half57%34%
Loss 1st Half0%32%
Scored 1st Half43%55%
Conceded 1st Half0%47%
Win 2nd Half43%61%
Draw 2nd Half36%26%
Loss 2nd Half21%13%
Scored 2nd Half57%71%
Conceded 2nd Half36%29%
Over 0.5 HT43%79%
Over 1.5 HT7%47%

Recent Venue Form

Esteghlal FC (H)
WAl Shamal1–0
WGol Gohar1–0
WAl Sadd3–0
WPaykan1–0
DPersepolis FC1–1
WSepahan FC2–0
Neftchi (A)
DTractor Sazi2–2
WPakhtakor3–1
WKokand-19124–2
LAl-Nassr1–3
WLokomotiv1–0
LNasaf2–6

Number of Corners

7.8
Corners / Match
4 games
League Avg
9.0
58 games
11.3
Corners / Match
4 games
Match CornersEsteghlal FCNeftchiLeague Avg
Over 675%100%76%
Over 725%100%59%
Over 825%100%55%
Over 925%100%43%
Over 1025%50%40%
Over 1125%50%28%
Over 1225%25%14%
Over 1325%0%9%

Team Corners

Team CornersEsteghlal FCNeftchi
Corners Earned / Match2.56.5
Corners Against / Match5.34.8
Over 2.5 Corners For25%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For25%100%
Over 4.5 Corners For25%75%
Over 2.5 Corners Against75%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against75%50%
Over 4.5 Corners Against75%50%
AFC Champions League Elite
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Al Ain4400+1112
1Vissel Kobe4400+512
2Kashima3300+109
2Al-Hilal Saudi FC4301+39
3Esteghlal FC4301+39
3Gamba Osaka3210+57
4Shabab Al Ahli Dubai4301+29
4Kashiwa Reysol4211+57
5Al-Qadisiyah FC4220+68
5SHANGHAI SIPG4211+37
6Al-Ahli Jeddah4220+38
6Kyoto Sanga4211+37
7Johor Darul Takzim FC4211+37
7Al-Nassr3201+26
8Jeonbuk Motors4211+17
8Al Shamal4121+15
9Beijing Guoan421107
9Neftchi4112-24
10Al-Ittihad FC4112-34
10Daejeon Citizen4112-24
11Công An Nhân Dân4112-34
11Al-Wasl FC3102-23
12Port FC4103-53
12Al Quwa Al Jawiya4103-43
13Buriram United3021-12
13Tractor Sazi4022-22
14Pakhtakor4022-52
14Ratchaburi4013-41
15Al Sadd4022-52
15Pohang Steelers3003-70
16Newcastle Jets4004-130
16Al-Gharafa4004-80

Team Insights

Esteghlal FC
  • ●Esteghlal FC have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Esteghlal FC have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
Neftchi
  • ●Neftchi have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Neftchi have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
Esteghlal FCEsteghlal FC
WHAl Shamal8º1–0
LAShabab Al Ahli Dubai4º0–2
DAChadormalu SC6º1–1
WHGol Gohar10º1–0
WAAl-Gharafa16º2–1
DATractor Sazi4º1–1
WHAl Sadd15º3–0
WHPaykan11º1–0
DAAluminium Arak7º0–0
DHPersepolis FC1º1–1
NeftchiNeftchi
DATractor Sazi13º2–2
LHAl-Ittihad FC10º1–2
WAPakhtakor2º3–1
WAPakhtakor2º3–1
LHLokomotiv2–4
WAKokand-191215º4–2
WAKokand-191214º4–2
LAAl-Nassr7º1–3
DHXorazm13º2–2
DHXorazm15º2–2

Season Schedule

Esteghlal FC
WHAl Shamal1–0
LAShabab Al Ahli Dubai0–2
WAAl-Gharafa2–1
WHAl Sadd3–0
–AAl Ain23/11
–HNeftchi07/12
–APakhtakor08/02
Neftchi
DATractor Sazi2–2
LHAl-Ittihad FC1–2
LAAl-Nassr1–3
WHAl Quwa Al Jawiya1–0
–HAl-Hilal Saudi FC23/11
–AEsteghlal FC07/12
–HAl-Ahli Jeddah09/02

Top Scorers

Esteghlal FC
J. Asani5 ⚽
E. Gholizadeh4 ⚽
S. Saharkhizan4 ⚽
Jasir Asani2 ⚽
M. Azadi1 ⚽
M. Eslami1 ⚽
Neftchi
S. Perica15 ⚽
Z. Marusic10 ⚽
A. Odilov7 ⚽
J. Iskanderov7 ⚽
K. Giyosov4 ⚽
J. Djokic3 ⚽

Cards Given

Esteghlal FC
A. Razzaghinia3 🟨
S. Hardani3 🟨
A. Koushki2 🟨
A. Aghasi2 🟨
H. Goudarzi2 🟨
Esmaeil Gholizadeh1 🟨
Neftchi
I. Alibaev7 🟨
Ratinho4 🟨
A. Gofurov4 🟨
F. Sayfiev4 🟨
N. Abduganiyev4 🟨
I. Pulatov3 🟨