Real vs São Paulo RS — Gaúcho - 3
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Real and São Paulo RS meet in the Gaúcho - 3 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Real have recorded 7 wins from 14 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.57 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. São Paulo RS have won 57% of their 7 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Real and 1.52 for São Paulo RS. The models give Real a 42% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an São Paulo RS win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
RealSão Paulo RSHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Real | Home | Away | São Paulo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 38% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 43% | 67% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Real | Home | Away | São Paulo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 67% | 50% | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 50% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 33% | 50% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS | 57% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 43% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 67% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 17% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 85% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 54% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Real (H)
Panambi3–3
Farroupilha4–0
FC Serpa1–1
Academica1–4
Lajense5–5
FBC Riograndense RS3–0São Paulo (A)
Clube 19923–1Panambi0–1
SC Rio Grande2–0
Apafut0–1
São Gabriel5–0FBC Riograndense RS1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 17 |
| 2 | Panambi | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +9 | 17 |
| 3 |  Cruz A. | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Futebol Com Vida | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | São Paulo RS | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 6 | Farroupilha | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | FBC Riograndense RS | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | Clube 1992 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 |  EC Novo Horizonte | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -18 | 4 |
| 10 | SC Rio Grande | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -14 | 0 |
Team Insights
Real- ●Real have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Real have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Real have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Real have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Real have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Real have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Real have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
São Paulo- ●São Paulo RS failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●São Paulo RS have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
RealSC Rio Grande2–1Panambi3–3EC Novo Horizonte9–0Farroupilha4–0Cruz A.3–0FBC Riograndense RS3–0Clube 199218/10São Paulo RS24/10São PauloFutebol Com Vida0–1Clube 19923–1FBC Riograndense RS3–1Panambi0–1Farroupilha2–1SC Rio Grande2–0EC Novo Horizonte18/10Real24/10Top Scorers
RealSão PauloCards Given
RealSão Paulo