Adelaide United vs BG Pathum United — AFC Champions League Two
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Adelaide United and BG Pathum United meet in the AFC Champions League Two 2026 season on 3 December 2026. Adelaide United have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. BG Pathum United have won 25% of their 12 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Adelaide United and 1.14 for BG Pathum United. The models give Adelaide United a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an BG Pathum United win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Adelaide UnitedBG Pathum UnitedHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Adelaide United | Home | Away | BG Pathum | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 33% | 86% | 77% | 83% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 33% | 57% | 38% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 33% | 29% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 67% | 14% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Adelaide United | Home | Away | BG Pathum | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 67% | 71% | 69% | 83% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 67% | 43% | 38% | 67% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 29% | 31% | 17% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Adelaide United | BG Pathum | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 23% |
| BTTS | 40% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Adelaide United | BG Pathum | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 31% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Adelaide United (H)
Home United0–2
Wofoo Tai Po3–0
Công An Nhân Dân0–2
Auckland0–3
Macarthur3–1Auckland1–1BG Pathum (A)Wofoo Tai Po3–0
Khon Kaen United0–1
Sisaket United1–1
Bangkok United2–3Home United1–1
Pattani0–0Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Adelaide United | BG Pathum | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 50% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 33% | 32% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 17% | 25% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 17% | 14% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 17% | 4% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Adelaide United | BG Pathum |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 50% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
Adelaide United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Wahda FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 1 |  Persib Bandung | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 1 |  Al-Jazira | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 1 |  Al Taawon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 1 |  Al Shorta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 1 | Adelaide United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 1 |  Al Shorta | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 1 |  Phnom Penh Crown | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 2 |  Al-Rayyan SC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 |  Al Kuwait | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 2 |  Al Hussein | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 5 |
| 2 | Home United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 |  Melbourne Victory | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 |  Arkadag | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 |  Kitchee | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 |  Muharraq | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Al Faisaly | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 |  FC Seoul | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 |  East Bengal | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 3 | BG Pathum United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 3 |  Nasaf | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 3 |  Svay Rieng | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 3 |  Kuching FA | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 |  Gol Gohar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Viettel | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 4 |  Al Seeb | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 4 |  Gangwon FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 |  Khalidiya | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 |  Al-Nahda | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 4 | Wofoo Tai Po | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 4 |  Tampines Rovers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Season Schedule
Adelaide UnitedHome United0–2BG Pathum United2–1Wofoo Tai Po3–0Home United05/11Wofoo Tai Po26/11BG Pathum United03/12BG PathumWofoo Tai Po3–0Adelaide United1–2Home United1–1Wofoo Tai Po05/11Home United26/11Adelaide United03/12Top Scorers
Adelaide UnitedBG PathumCards Given
Adelaide UnitedBG Pathum