Karvan vs Şimal — Birinci Dasta
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Karvan and Şimal meet in the Birinci Dasta 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Karvan have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Şimal have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 2.17 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 100%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.75 for Karvan and 1.38 for Şimal. The models give Karvan a 50% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Şimal win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Karvan
ŞimalHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Karvan | Home | Away | Şimal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 67% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 67% | 25% | 33% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Karvan | Home | Away | Şimal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 33% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 25% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 67% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Karvan | Şimal | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 50% |
| BTTS | 43% | 100% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Karvan | Şimal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 57% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 14% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Karvan (H)
Cəbrayıl2–1
Zaqatala3–0
Qabala1–2
Neftchi Baku0–3
Şamaxı FK1–0
Kapaz4–1Şimal (A)
Mingəçevir4–1
MOIK1–1Cəbrayıl3–2
Safa Baku0–0
Səbail0–4
Şahdağ0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cəbrayıl | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 15 |
| 2 | Şahdağ | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 3 | MOIK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 4 | Səbail | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 5 | Karvan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Şimal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 |  Xankəndi FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Mingəçevir | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 9 | Zaqatala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -15 | 4 |
| 10 |  Baku Sportinq | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Team Insights
Karvan- ●Karvan have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Karvan have scored 70% of their goals in the first half.
Şimal- ●Şimal have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Şimal failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Şimal have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Şimal have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●62% of Şimal's goals have been scored at home.
- ●82% of Şimal's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
KarvanMOIK1–3Cəbrayıl2–1Səbail1–1Zaqatala3–0Şahdağ0–2Baku Sportinq3–0Şimal05/11Xankəndi FK19/11Mingəçevir25/11ŞimalBaku Sportinq5–2Mingəçevir4–1Xankəndi FK1–1Şahdağ1–4MOIK1–1Cəbrayıl1–2Karvan05/11Zaqatala20/11Səbail25/11Top Scorers
KarvanŞimal