Mingəçevir vs Şahdağ — Birinci Dasta
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Mingəçevir and Şahdağ meet in the Birinci Dasta 2026 season on 4 November 2026. Mingəçevir have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 0.71 goals scored and 2.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Şahdağ have won 86% of their 7 matches, with 3.29 goals scored and 0.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 57%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Mingəçevir and 1.77 for Şahdağ. The models give Mingəçevir a 31% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Şahdağ win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
MingəçevirŞahdağHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mingəçevir | Home | Away | Şahdağ | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 67% | 50% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 33% | 0% | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 33% | 50% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Mingəçevir | Home | Away | Şahdağ | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 75% | 43% | 0% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 57% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 25% | 57% | 100% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mingəçevir | Şahdağ | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 43% |
| BTTS | 43% | 29% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 43% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mingəçevir | Şahdağ | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 71% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 57% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 14% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Mingəçevir (H)
Şimal1–4
Cəbrayıl0–3
Zaqatala2–2
Səbail4–1
MOIK3–1Zaqatala7–1Şahdağ (A)MOIK9–1
Xankəndi FK0–1Şimal4–1MOIK1–0Səbail0–0MOIK1–0Head to Head · 15 matches
MingəçevirŞahdağMingəçevirŞahdağMingəçevirŞahdağMingəçevirŞahdağMingəçevirŞahdağMingəçevirŞahdağMingəçevirŞahdağMingəçevir| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cəbrayıl | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 15 |
| 2 | Şahdağ | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 3 | MOIK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 4 | Səbail | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 5 |  Karvan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Şimal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Mingəçevir | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 9 | Zaqatala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -15 | 4 |
| 10 |  Baku Sportinq | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Team Insights
Mingəçevir—
Şahdağ- ●Şahdağ have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Şahdağ have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●64% of Şahdağ's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Şahdağ have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MingəçevirXankəndi FK1–0Şimal1–4MOIK0–3Cəbrayıl0–3Səbail1–2Zaqatala2–2Şahdağ04/11Baku Sportinq19/11Karvan25/11ŞahdağSəbail1–0Xankəndi FK0–1Zaqatala6–0Şimal4–1Karvan2–0MOIK1–0Mingəçevir04/11Cəbrayıl20/11Baku Sportinq25/11Top Scorers
MingəçevirŞahdağ