Səbail vs Cəbrayıl — Birinci Dasta
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Səbail and Cəbrayıl meet in the Birinci Dasta 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Səbail have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Cəbrayıl have won 86% of their 7 matches, with 2.86 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 86%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for Səbail and 1.35 for Cəbrayıl. The models give Səbail a 50% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Cəbrayıl win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
SəbailCəbrayılHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Səbail | Home | Away | Cəbrayıl | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 67% | 25% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 25% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Səbail | Home | Away | Cəbrayıl | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 75% | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 14% | 33% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 25% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Səbail | Cəbrayıl | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS | 71% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 43% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 29% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Səbail | Cəbrayıl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 57% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 100% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 14% | 100% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 14% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Səbail (H)
Zira2–2
Karvan1–1
Mingəçevir2–1
Şahdağ0–0Cəbrayıl6–0
Şimal4–0Cəbrayıl (A)
Xankəndi FK3–2Karvan1–2Mingəçevir3–0Şimal2–1
Safa Baku0–1Səbail0–6Head to Head · 3 matches
CəbrayılSəbailCəbrayıl| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cəbrayıl | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 15 |
| 2 | Şahdağ | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 3 |  MOIK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 4 | Səbail | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 5 | Karvan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Şimal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Mingəçevir | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 9 |  Zaqatala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -15 | 4 |
| 10 |  Baku Sportinq | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Team Insights
Səbail- ●62% of Səbail's goals have been scored away.
- ●64% of Səbail's points have been earned away.
- ●Səbail have scored 100% of their goals in the first half.
Cəbrayıl- ●Cəbrayıl have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Cəbrayıl have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cəbrayıl have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●65% of Cəbrayıl's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
SəbailŞahdağ0–1Zaqatala3–1Karvan1–1Baku Sportinq1–0Mingəçevir2–1Xankəndi FK1–1Cəbrayıl05/11MOIK19/11Şimal25/11CəbrayılZaqatala7–0Karvan1–2Baku Sportinq2–0Mingəçevir3–0Xankəndi FK2–1Şimal2–1Səbail05/11Şahdağ20/11MOIK25/11Top Scorers
SəbailCəbrayılCards Given
SəbailCəbrayıl