MOIK vs Səbail — Birinci Dasta
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MOIK and Səbail meet in the Birinci Dasta 2026 season on 19 November 2026. MOIK have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Səbail have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for MOIK and 1.24 for Səbail. The models give MOIK a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Səbail win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
MOIK
SəbailHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| MOIK | Home | Away | Səbail | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 80% | 100% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 40% | 100% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 43% | 40% | 50% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 20% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| MOIK | Home | Away | Səbail | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 80% | 50% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 14% | 20% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 20% | 50% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| MOIK | Səbail | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS | 57% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 43% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| MOIK | Səbail | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 57% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 14% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 86% | 14% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
MOIK (H)
Şahdağ1–9
Karvan3–1
Mingəçevir3–0
Şimal1–1Şahdağ0–1
Difai Ağsu4–0Səbail (A)Şahdağ0–1
Zaqatala3–1
Baku Sportinq1–0
Xankəndi FK1–1Mingəçevir1–4Zaqatala3–0Head to Head · 6 matches
MOIKSəbailMOIKSəbailSəbailMOIK| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cəbrayıl | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 15 |
| 2 | Şahdağ | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 3 | MOIK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 4 | Səbail | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 5 | Karvan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Şimal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Mingəçevir | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 9 | Zaqatala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -15 | 4 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Team Insights
MOIK- ●MOIK have won their last 4 matches.
- ●MOIK have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●MOIK have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●MOIK have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●MOIK have won their last 2 away matches.
Səbail- ●62% of Səbail's goals have been scored away.
- ●64% of Səbail's points have been earned away.
- ●Səbail have scored 100% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MOIKKarvan3–1Baku Sportinq3–1Mingəçevir3–0Xankəndi FK2–0Şimal1–1Şahdağ0–1Zaqatala05/11Səbail19/11Cəbrayıl25/11SəbailŞahdağ0–1Zaqatala3–1Karvan1–1Baku Sportinq1–0Mingəçevir2–1Xankəndi FK1–1Cəbrayıl05/11MOIK19/11Şimal25/11Top Scorers
MOIKSəbailCards Given
MOIKSəbail