Səbail vs Şimal — Birinci Dasta
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Səbail and Şimal meet in the Birinci Dasta 2026 season on 25 November 2026. Səbail have recorded 3 wins from 5 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 80% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Şimal have won 20% of their 5 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 100%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Səbail and 1.17 for Şimal. The models give Səbail a 55% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Şimal win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Səbail
ŞimalHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Səbail | Home | Away | Şimal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 50% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Səbail | Home | Away | Şimal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Səbail | Şimal | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 40% |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 40% | 40% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Səbail | Şimal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 80% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 100% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 60% | 60% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 0% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Səbail (H)
Karvan1–1
Mingəçevir2–1
Şahdağ0–0
Cəbrayıl6–0Şimal4–0
Baku Sportinq1–0Şimal (A)Mingəçevir4–1
MOIK1–1Cəbrayıl3–2
Safa Baku0–0Səbail0–4Şahdağ0–1Head to Head · 3 matches
ŞimalŞimalSəbail| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Şahdağ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 12 |
| 2 | Cəbrayıl | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 3 | Səbail | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 4 | Karvan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | MOIK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 6 |  Zaqatala | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 4 |
| 7 |  Xankəndi FK | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 8 | Şimal | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 9 | Mingəçevir | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
Səbail- ●Səbail have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Səbail have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Səbail have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●62% of Səbail's goals have been scored away.
- ●64% of Səbail's points have been earned away.
- ●Səbail have scored 100% of their goals in the first half.
Şimal- ●Şimal failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Şimal have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●62% of Şimal's goals have been scored away.
- ●78% of Şimal's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
SəbailZaqatala3–1Karvan1–1Baku Sportinq1–0Mingəçevir2–1Xankəndi FK1–1Şahdağ21/10Cəbrayıl04/11MOIK19/11ŞimalMingəçevir4–1Xankəndi FK1–1Şahdağ1–4MOIK1–1Cəbrayıl1–2Baku Sportinq22/10Karvan04/11Zaqatala19/11Top Scorers
SəbailŞimal