Karvan vs Şahdağ — Birinci Dasta
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Karvan and Şahdağ meet in the Birinci Dasta 2026 season on 9 December 2026. Karvan have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Şahdağ have won 83% of their 6 matches, with 2.33 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 17%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 67%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Karvan and 1.27 for Şahdağ. The models give Karvan a 36% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Şahdağ win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Karvan
ŞahdağHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Karvan | Home | Away | Şahdağ | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 67% | 75% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 67% | 25% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 33% | 25% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Karvan | Home | Away | Şahdağ | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 33% | 75% | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 67% | 25% | 67% | 100% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Karvan | Şahdağ | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS | 43% | 17% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Karvan | Şahdağ | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 57% | 67% |
| Draw 1st Half | 14% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Karvan (H)
Cəbrayıl2–1
Zaqatala3–0
Qabala1–2
Neftchi Baku0–3
Şamaxı FK1–0
Kapaz4–1Şahdağ (A)
Xankəndi FK0–1
Şimal4–1
MOIK1–0
Səbail0–0MOIK1–0Zaqatala1–0Head to Head · 5 matches
KarvanŞahdağKarvanŞahdağKarvan| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Şahdağ | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 2 | Cəbrayıl | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Səbail | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 4 | MOIK | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | Karvan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Şimal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Zaqatala | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -8 | 4 |
| 9 |  Mingəçevir | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 10 |  Baku Sportinq | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
Team Insights
Karvan- ●Karvan have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Karvan have scored 70% of their goals in the first half.
Şahdağ- ●Şahdağ have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Şahdağ have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●64% of Şahdağ's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Şahdağ have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
KarvanMOIK1–3Cəbrayıl2–1Səbail1–1Zaqatala3–0Şahdağ0–2Baku Sportinq3–0Şimal04/11Xankəndi FK19/11Mingəçevir25/11ŞahdağSəbail1–0Xankəndi FK0–1Zaqatala6–0Şimal4–1Karvan2–0MOIK1–0Mingəçevir04/11Cəbrayıl19/11Baku Sportinq25/11Top Scorers
KarvanŞahdağ