Cəbrayıl vs Mingəçevir — Birinci Dasta
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Cəbrayıl and Mingəçevir meet in the Birinci Dasta 2026 season on 16 December 2026. Cəbrayıl have recorded 6 wins from 7 matches this season (86% win rate), averaging 2.86 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Mingəçevir have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 0.71 goals scored and 2.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 86%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.12 for Cəbrayıl and 1.01 for Mingəçevir. The models give Cəbrayıl a 55% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Mingəçevir win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
CəbrayılMingəçevirHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cəbrayıl | Home | Away | Mingəçevir | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 75% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 43% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Cəbrayıl | Home | Away | Mingəçevir | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 33% | 75% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 0% | 50% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 67% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cəbrayıl | Mingəçevir | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 14% |
| BTTS | 57% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 43% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 43% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cəbrayıl | Mingəçevir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 14% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 100% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 100% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 14% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Cəbrayıl (H)
Zaqatala7–0
Baku Sportinq2–0
Xankəndi FK2–1
Şimal2–3Baku Sportinq2–3Mingəçevir2–1Mingəçevir (A)
Qabala0–3Xankəndi FK1–0
MOIK0–3
Səbail1–2Qabala0–2
Şahdağ0–2Head to Head · 7 matches
CəbrayılMingəçevirCəbrayılMingəçevirMingəçevirCəbrayılMingəçevir| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cəbrayıl | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 15 |
| 2 | Şahdağ | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 3 | MOIK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 4 | Səbail | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 5 |  Karvan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Şimal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Mingəçevir | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 9 | Zaqatala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -15 | 4 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Team Insights
Cəbrayıl- ●Cəbrayıl have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Cəbrayıl have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cəbrayıl have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●65% of Cəbrayıl's goals have been scored at home.
Mingəçevir—
Season Schedule
CəbrayılZaqatala7–0Karvan1–2Baku Sportinq2–0Mingəçevir3–0Xankəndi FK2–1Şimal2–1Səbail05/11Şahdağ20/11MOIK25/11MingəçevirXankəndi FK1–0Şimal1–4MOIK0–3Cəbrayıl0–3Səbail1–2Zaqatala2–2Şahdağ04/11Baku Sportinq19/11Karvan25/11Top Scorers
CəbrayılMingəçevir