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Səbail vs Baku Sportinq — Birinci Dasta

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Səbail
Səbail
4º · 1.83 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 50d 1h
vs
–
–
Baku Sportinq
Baku Sportinq
10º · 0.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 49d 0h
ASCO Arena·Baku·Azerbaijan·6,000
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Səbail and Baku Sportinq meet in the Birinci Dasta 2026 season on 16 December 2026. Səbail have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Baku Sportinq have won 0% of their 7 matches, with 0.57 goals scored and 2.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for Səbail and 1.10 for Baku Sportinq. The models give Səbail a 60% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Baku Sportinq win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Səbail
—
Baku Sportinq
4º
Position
10º
1.83
PPG
0.00
50%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
0.50
0.83
Conceded / game
2.83
71%
BTTS %
43%
14%
Clean sheet %
0%
43%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Səbail
Home (2)
—
Baku Sportinq
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
0.00
50%
Win %
0%
1.50
Goals / game
0.67
1.00
Conceded / game
3.33
100%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

SəbailHomeAwayBaku SportinqHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored86%100%75%43%33%50%
Over 1.5 Scored43%67%25%14%0%25%
Over 2.5 Scored14%0%25%0%0%0%
Failed To Score14%0%25%57%67%50%

Goals Conceded

SəbailHomeAwayBaku SportinqHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded86%100%75%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded14%33%0%86%67%100%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%71%67%75%
Clean Sheets14%0%25%0%0%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

SəbailBaku Sportinq
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.571%86%
Over 2.543%71%
Over 3.529%43%
Over 4.50%14%
BTTS71%43%
BTTS & Win29%0%
BTTS & Draw43%0%
BTTS & Over 2.543%43%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%29%

1st Half / 2nd Half

SəbailBaku Sportinq
Win 1st Half57%0%
Draw 1st Half29%43%
Loss 1st Half14%57%
Scored 1st Half71%29%
Conceded 1st Half29%71%
Win 2nd Half14%0%
Draw 2nd Half29%14%
Loss 2nd Half57%86%
Scored 2nd Half14%14%
Conceded 2nd Half71%86%
Over 0.5 HT86%71%
Over 1.5 HT43%43%

Recent Venue Form

Səbail (H)
DZira2–2
DKarvan1–1
WMingəçevir2–1
DŞahdağ0–0
WCəbrayıl6–0
WŞimal4–0
Baku Sportinq (A)
LKapaz1–3
LŞimal2–5
LCəbrayıl0–2
LZaqatala0–3
DŞahdağ1–1
WCəbrayıl3–2

Head to Head · 4 matches

2
Səbail
50%
2
Draws
50%
0
Baku Sportinq
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0/4
0%
Over 2.5
0/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
0%
BTTS
0/4
17/09/26
Baku Sportinq
0–1
Səbail
02/04/26
Səbail
1–0
Baku Sportinq
24/02/26
Səbail
0–0
Baku Sportinq
21/11/25
Baku Sportinq
0–0
Səbail
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl6501+1315
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK6411+813
4Səbail6321+311
5Karvan6312+310
6Şimal6222+28
7Xankəndi FK6123-35
8Mingəçevir6114-94
9Zaqatala6114-154
10Baku Sportinq6006-140

Team Insights

Səbail
  • ●62% of Səbail's goals have been scored away.
  • ●64% of Səbail's points have been earned away.
  • ●Səbail have scored 100% of their goals in the first half.
Baku Sportinq
  • ●Baku Sportinq have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
  • ●Baku Sportinq have lost their last 6 matches.
  • ●Baku Sportinq failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Baku Sportinq have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Baku Sportinq have lost their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Baku Sportinq have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Baku Sportinq have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
DHZira2–2
LAŞahdağ2º0–1
WAZaqatala9º3–1
DHKarvan5º1–1
WABaku Sportinq10º1–0
WHMingəçevir8º2–1
DAXankəndi FK7º1–1
LAMingəçevir2º1–4
DHŞahdağ5º0–0
WAZaqatala7º3–0
LAKapaz1–3
LAŞimal6º2–5
LHMOIK3º1–3
LACəbrayıl1º0–2
LHSəbail4º0–1
LAZaqatala9º0–3
LHKarvan5º0–3
DAŞahdağ5º1–1
WHZaqatala7º3–0
WACəbrayıl8º3–2

Season Schedule

Səbail
LAŞahdağ0–1
WAZaqatala3–1
DHKarvan1–1
WABaku Sportinq1–0
WHMingəçevir2–1
DAXankəndi FK1–1
–HCəbrayıl05/11
–AMOIK19/11
–HŞimal25/11
Baku Sportinq
LAŞimal2–5
LHMOIK1–3
LACəbrayıl0–2
LHSəbail0–1
LAZaqatala0–3
LHKarvan0–3
–HXankəndi FK05/11
–AMingəçevir19/11
–HŞahdağ25/11

Top Scorers

Səbail
Dinho5 ⚽
Y. Said3 ⚽
A. Agazada1 ⚽
B. Haziyev1 ⚽
R. Seyidov1 ⚽
S. Nongoh1 ⚽
Baku Sportinq
A. Babaei2 ⚽
E. Abdullayev1 ⚽
S. Huseynli1 ⚽

Cards Given

Səbail
P. Azadov2 🟨
Baku Sportinq