Şahdağ vs Şimal — Birinci Dasta
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Şahdağ and Şimal meet in the Birinci Dasta 2026 season on 16 December 2026. Şahdağ have recorded 6 wins from 7 matches this season (86% win rate), averaging 3.29 goals scored and 0.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 29% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 57% of games. Şimal have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 1.86 goals scored and 2.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 86%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.94 for Şahdağ and 1.18 for Şimal. The models give Şahdağ a 59% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Şimal win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Şahdağ
ŞimalHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Şahdağ | Home | Away | Şimal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 75% | 86% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 67% | 50% | 29% | 20% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 43% | 33% | 50% | 29% | 20% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 25% | 14% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Şahdağ | Home | Away | Şimal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 43% | 0% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 57% | 80% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 40% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 57% | 100% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Şahdağ | Şimal | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 57% |
| BTTS | 29% | 86% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Şahdağ | Şimal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 71% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 0% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Şahdağ (H)
Səbail1–0
Zaqatala6–0
Karvan2–0
Baku Sportinq1–1
Mingəçevir2–0
Cəbrayıl0–0Şimal (A)Mingəçevir4–1
MOIK1–1Cəbrayıl3–2
Safa Baku0–0Səbail0–4Şahdağ0–1Head to Head · 5 matches
ŞahdağŞimalŞahdağŞimalŞahdağ| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cəbrayıl | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 15 |
| 2 | Şahdağ | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 3 | MOIK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 4 | Səbail | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 5 | Karvan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Şimal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 |  Xankəndi FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Mingəçevir | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 9 | Zaqatala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -15 | 4 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Team Insights
Şahdağ- ●Şahdağ have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Şahdağ have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●64% of Şahdağ's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Şahdağ have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Şimal- ●Şimal have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Şimal failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Şimal have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Şimal have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●62% of Şimal's goals have been scored at home.
- ●82% of Şimal's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
ŞahdağSəbail1–0Xankəndi FK0–1Zaqatala6–0Şimal4–1Karvan2–0MOIK1–0Cəbrayıl20/11Baku Sportinq25/11Karvan09/12ŞimalBaku Sportinq5–2Mingəçevir4–1Xankəndi FK1–1Şahdağ1–4MOIK1–1Cəbrayıl1–2Karvan05/11Zaqatala20/11Səbail25/11Top Scorers
ŞahdağŞimal