Zaqatala vs Karvan — Birinci Dasta
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Zaqatala and Karvan meet in the Birinci Dasta 2026 season on 16 December 2026. Zaqatala have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 0.86 goals scored and 3.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 29% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Karvan have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Zaqatala and 1.32 for Karvan. The models give Zaqatala a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Karvan win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Zaqatala
KarvanHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Zaqatala | Home | Away | Karvan | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 43% | 100% | 20% | 75% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 50% | 20% | 50% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 50% | 0% | 38% | 33% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 57% | 0% | 80% | 25% | 33% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Zaqatala | Home | Away | Karvan | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 50% | 100% | 63% | 33% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 50% | 80% | 25% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 57% | 50% | 60% | 13% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 50% | 0% | 38% | 67% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Zaqatala | Karvan | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 57% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 13% |
| BTTS | 29% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 57% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Zaqatala | Karvan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 57% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 14% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 71% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Zaqatala (H)
Səbail1–3
Baku Sportinq3–0
Safa Baku2–1Səbail0–3
Şahdağ0–1
Difai Ağsu1–0Karvan (A)
Zangazur (Am)4–1
MOIK1–3Səbail1–1Şahdağ0–2Baku Sportinq3–0
Imisli FK1–1Head to Head · 7 matches
ZaqatalaKarvanZaqatalaKarvanKarvanZaqatalaKarvan| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cəbrayıl | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 15 |
| 2 | Şahdağ | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 3 | MOIK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 4 | Səbail | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 5 | Karvan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Şimal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 |  Xankəndi FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 |  Mingəçevir | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 9 | Zaqatala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -15 | 4 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Team Insights
Zaqatala- ●Zaqatala have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Zaqatala have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Zaqatala have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Zaqatala have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Zaqatala have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●86% of Zaqatala's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Zaqatala have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Karvan- ●Karvan have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Karvan have scored 70% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
ZaqatalaCəbrayıl0–7Səbail1–3Şahdağ0–6Karvan0–3Baku Sportinq3–0Mingəçevir2–2MOIK05/11Şimal20/11Xankəndi FK25/11KarvanMOIK1–3Cəbrayıl2–1Səbail1–1Zaqatala3–0Şahdağ0–2Baku Sportinq3–0Şimal05/11Xankəndi FK19/11Mingəçevir25/11Top Scorers
ZaqatalaKarvanCards Given
ZaqatalaKarvan