Real Refineros vs Guerreros del Pacifico — Liga Premier Serie A
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Real Refineros and Guerreros del Pacifico meet in the Liga Premier Serie A 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Real Refineros have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Guerreros del Pacifico have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 0.83 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 17%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Real Refineros and 1.44 for Guerreros del Pacifico. The models give Real Refineros a 46% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Guerreros del Pacifico win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Real RefinerosGuerreros del PacificoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Real Refineros | Home | Away | Guerreros del | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 75% | 100% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Refineros | Home | Away | Guerreros del | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 75% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 75% | 67% | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 43% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Refineros | Guerreros del | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 57% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 17% |
| BTTS | 71% | 17% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Refineros | Guerreros del | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 17% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 71% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Refineros (H)
Halcones Negros2–3
Ciervos3–3
Calor de San Pedro0–0
Artesanos Metepec1–2Guerreros del (A)
Dragones de Oaxaca1–5
Cañoneros Marina2–0Halcones Negros0–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Artesanos Metepec | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 1 |  Vaqueros Reynosa | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 16 |
| 2 |  Mineros de Fresnillo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 | Halcones Negros | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 14 |
| 3 |  La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Acatlan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Acambaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 13 |
| 5 | Calor de San Pedro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 5 |  FC Santiago | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Correcaminos UAT II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 6 |  Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Guerreros del Pacifico | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 |  Guerreros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Atlético Saltillo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Real Apodaca | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -19 | 2 |
| 10 |  Héroes de Zaci | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 2 |
| 10 | Cañoneros Marina | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -24 | 0 |
Team Insights
Real Refineros- ●Real Refineros have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Real Refineros's points have been earned away.
- ●Real Refineros have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Real Refineros have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Guerreros del- ●89% of Guerreros del Pacifico's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Real RefinerosHalcones Negros2–3Dragones de Oaxaca2–3Ciervos3–3Delfines Coatzacoalcos2–2Calor de San Pedro0–0Cañoneros Marina1–0Guerreros del Pacifico17/10FC Santiago27/10Guerreros31/10Guerreros delDragones de Oaxaca1–5Delfines Coatzacoalcos0–0Cañoneros Marina2–0Acambaro0–1Halcones Negros0–3Ciervos2–0Real Refineros17/10Calor de San Pedro22/10Real Apodaca25/10Top Scorers
Real RefinerosGuerreros delCards Given
Real RefinerosGuerreros del