Acatlan vs Real Refineros — Liga Premier Serie A
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Acatlan and Real Refineros meet in the Liga Premier Serie A 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Acatlan have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Real Refineros have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.01 for Acatlan and 1.45 for Real Refineros. The models give Acatlan a 48% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Real Refineros win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
AcatlanReal RefinerosHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Acatlan | Home | Away | Real Refineros | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 67% | 86% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 75% | 0% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 50% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Acatlan | Home | Away | Real Refineros | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 50% | 67% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 50% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Acatlan | Real Refineros | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 43% |
| BTTS | 43% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Acatlan | Real Refineros | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 57% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 14% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 71% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Acatlan (H)
Mineros de Fresnillo2–4
FC Santiago1–0
Real Apodaca4–1
Guerreros3–0
Cimarrones0–4
Colima1–3Real Refineros (A)
Dragones de Oaxaca2–3
Delfines Coatzacoalcos2–2
Cañoneros Marina1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Artesanos Metepec | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 1 |  Vaqueros Reynosa | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 16 |
| 2 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 |  Halcones Negros | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 14 |
| 3 |  La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Acatlan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Acambaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 13 |
| 5 |  Calor de San Pedro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Santiago | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Correcaminos UAT II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 6 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  Guerreros del Pacifico | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | Guerreros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Atlético Saltillo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 9 |  Ciervos | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -19 | 2 |
| 10 |  Héroes de Zaci | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 2 |
| 10 | Cañoneros Marina | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -24 | 0 |
Team Insights
Acatlan- ●Acatlan have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Acatlan have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●83% of Acatlan's goals have been scored at home.
Real Refineros- ●Real Refineros have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Real Refineros's points have been earned away.
- ●Real Refineros have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Real Refineros have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AcatlanMineros de Fresnillo2–4Héroes de Zaci1–0FC Santiago1–0Correcaminos UAT II1–1Real Apodaca4–1La Tribu de Cd. Juarez0–4Atlético Saltillo17/10Ciervos24/10Cañoneros Marina31/10Real RefinerosHalcones Negros2–3Dragones de Oaxaca2–3Ciervos3–3Delfines Coatzacoalcos2–2Calor de San Pedro0–0Cañoneros Marina1–0Guerreros del Pacifico17/10FC Santiago27/10Guerreros31/10Top Scorers
AcatlanReal RefinerosCards Given
AcatlanReal Refineros