La Tribu de Cd. Juarez vs Real Refineros — Liga Premier Serie A
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La Tribu de Cd. Juarez and Real Refineros meet in the Liga Premier Serie A 2026 season on 22 November 2026. La Tribu de Cd. Juarez have recorded 6 wins from 9 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.44 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Real Refineros have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.16 for La Tribu de Cd. Juarez and 1.27 for Real Refineros. The models give La Tribu de Cd. Juarez a 57% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Real Refineros win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez—
Real Refineros2º
Position
8º
1.88
PPG
1.25
63%
Win %
38%
2.50
Goals / game
1.75
1.25
Conceded / game
2.00
56%
BTTS %
75%
33%
Clean sheet %
25%
78%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
Home (5)
—
Real Refineros
Away (3)
2.40
PPG
2.00
80%
Win %
67%
2.80
Goals / game
1.67
0.80
Conceded / game
1.67
33%
BTTS %
67%
50%
Clean sheet %
33%
67%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| La Tribu | Home | Away | Real Refineros | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 83% | 100% | 88% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 83% | 33% | 63% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 17% | 0% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| La Tribu | Home | Away | Real Refineros | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 100% | 75% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 17% | 67% | 75% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 60% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 50% | 0% | 25% | 20% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| La Tribu | Real Refineros | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 50% |
| BTTS | 56% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| La Tribu | Real Refineros | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 63% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 13% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 75% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 63% |
Recent Venue Form
La Tribu (H)W
Artesanos Metepec2–0
Artesanos Metepec2–0W
Héroes de Zaci5–0
Héroes de Zaci5–0L
FC Santiago0–2
FC Santiago0–2W
Real Apodaca3–1
Real Apodaca3–1W
Vaqueros Reynosa2–1
Vaqueros Reynosa2–1W
Acatlan4–0
Acatlan4–0Real Refineros (A)L
Dragones de Oaxaca2–3
Dragones de Oaxaca2–3D
Delfines Coatzacoalcos2–2
Delfines Coatzacoalcos2–2W
Cañoneros Marina1–0
Cañoneros Marina1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Artesanos Metepec | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 21 |
| 1 | Acatlan | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Acambaro | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +19 | 20 |
| 2 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 16 |
| 3 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  Mineros de Fresnillo | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 | Vaqueros Reynosa | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |  Halcones Negros | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  Correcaminos UAT II | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 |  Guerreros del Pacifico | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Santiago | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 14 |
| 6 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Calor de San Pedro | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Guerreros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 |  Atlético Saltillo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 9 |  Ciervos | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 10 | Héroes de Zaci | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 2 |
| 10 | Cañoneros Marina | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -26 | 0 |
Team Insights
La Tribu- ●La Tribu de Cd. Juarez have won their last 2 matches.
- ●La Tribu de Cd. Juarez have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●La Tribu de Cd. Juarez have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●La Tribu de Cd. Juarez have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●La Tribu de Cd. Juarez have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●La Tribu de Cd. Juarez have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●73% of La Tribu de Cd. Juarez's goals have been scored at home.
- ●83% of La Tribu de Cd. Juarez's points have been earned at home.
Real Refineros- ●Real Refineros have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Real Refineros failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Real Refineros failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●64% of Real Refineros's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Real Refineros's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Real Refineros have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
La TribuWHArtesanos Metepec2–0
Artesanos Metepec2–0WHHéroes de Zaci5–0
Héroes de Zaci5–0LHFC Santiago0–2
FC Santiago0–2LACorrecaminos UAT II1–3
Correcaminos UAT II1–3WHReal Apodaca3–1
Real Apodaca3–1WHVaqueros Reynosa2–1
Vaqueros Reynosa2–1–ADelfines Coatzacoalcos31/10
Delfines Coatzacoalcos31/10–HCañoneros Marina08/11
Cañoneros Marina08/11–ACiervos14/11
Ciervos14/11Real RefinerosDHGuerreros del Pacifico3–3
Guerreros del Pacifico3–3LHHalcones Negros2–3
Halcones Negros2–3LADragones de Oaxaca2–3
Dragones de Oaxaca2–3DHCiervos3–3
Ciervos3–3DADelfines Coatzacoalcos2–2
Delfines Coatzacoalcos2–2DHCalor de San Pedro0–0
Calor de San Pedro0–0–AFC Santiago27/10
FC Santiago27/10–HGuerreros31/10
Guerreros31/10–AAcatlan07/11
Acatlan07/11Top Scorers
La Tribu7 ⚽
B. Grijalva1 ⚽
Real Refineros19 ⚽
Cards Given
La TribuReal Refineros1 🟨