Real Apodaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo — Liga Premier Serie A
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Real Apodaca and Mineros de Fresnillo meet in the Liga Premier Serie A 2026 season on 10 January 2027. Real Apodaca have recorded 1 wins from 10 matches this season (10% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Mineros de Fresnillo have won 55% of their 11 matches, with 1.73 goals scored and 0.73 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 55%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Real Apodaca and 1.43 for Mineros de Fresnillo. The models give Real Apodaca a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Mineros de Fresnillo win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Real Apodaca—
Mineros de Fresnillo9º
Position
3º
0.70
PPG
1.91
20%
Win %
55%
1.00
Goals / game
1.73
2.00
Conceded / game
0.73
50%
BTTS %
36%
20%
Clean sheet %
55%
60%
Over 2.5 %
45%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Real Apodaca
Home (5)
—
Mineros de Fresnillo
Away (4)
1.20
PPG
1.00
40%
Win %
25%
1.60
Goals / game
1.25
1.80
Conceded / game
1.50
60%
BTTS %
50%
20%
Clean sheet %
25%
60%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Real Apodaca | Home | Away | Mineros de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 80% | 40% | 64% | 71% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 60% | 0% | 55% | 71% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 36% | 43% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 20% | 60% | 36% | 29% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Apodaca | Home | Away | Mineros de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 80% | 80% | 45% | 29% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 60% | 60% | 27% | 0% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 60% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 55% | 71% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Apodaca | Mineros de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 18% |
| BTTS | 50% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Apodaca | Mineros de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 60% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 20% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Apodaca (H)D
Guerreros del Pacifico3–3
Guerreros del Pacifico3–3L
Correcaminos UAT II0–1
Correcaminos UAT II0–1L
Vaqueros Reynosa1–2
Vaqueros Reynosa1–2W
Guerreros2–0
Guerreros2–0L
Atlético Saltillo2–3
Atlético Saltillo2–3L
Deportiva Venados2–4
Deportiva Venados2–4Mineros de (A)L
Dragones de Oaxaca0–2
Dragones de Oaxaca0–2W
Acatlan4–2
Acatlan4–2LVaqueros Reynosa1–2
Vaqueros Reynosa1–2DCorrecaminos UAT II0–0
Correcaminos UAT II0–0D
Cimarrones1–1
Cimarrones1–1L
Durango1–2
Durango1–2Head to Head · 5 matches
2
Real Apodaca
40%
1
Draws
20%
2
Mineros de
40%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
30/08/26Real Apodaca
Mineros de Fresnillo
0–0Real Apodaca11/01/25Real Apodaca
Mineros de Fresnillo
2–0Real Apodaca06/11/24Mineros de Fresnillo
Real Apodaca
2–1Mineros de Fresnillo28/01/24Mineros de Fresnillo
Real Apodaca
2–0Mineros de Fresnillo26/08/23Real Apodaca
Mineros de Fresnillo
4–2Real Apodaca| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +19 | 25 |
| 1 |  FC Santiago | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +20 | 23 |
| 2 |  Artesanos Metepec | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 24 |
| 2 | Acatlan | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 |  Acambaro | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +17 | 23 |
| 3 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 22 |
| 4 | Correcaminos UAT II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |  Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +10 | 19 |
| 5 |  Halcones Negros | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 | Vaqueros Reynosa | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 6 | Guerreros del Pacifico | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Calor de San Pedro | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 16 |
| 7 | Guerreros | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Real Refineros | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 15 |
| 8 | Atlético Saltillo | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 11 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 6 |
| 9 |  Ciervos | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -27 | 5 |
| 10 |  Héroes de Zaci | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -26 | 2 |
| 10 |  Cañoneros Marina | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -28 | 0 |
Team Insights
Real Apodaca- ●Real Apodaca have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Real Apodaca failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Real Apodaca have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Real Apodaca failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Real Apodaca failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Real Apodaca have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●80% of Real Apodaca's goals have been scored at home.
Mineros de- ●Mineros de Fresnillo have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Mineros de Fresnillo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Mineros de Fresnillo have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●74% of Mineros de Fresnillo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Mineros de Fresnillo's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●81% of Mineros de Fresnillo's points have been earned at home.
- ●Mineros de Fresnillo have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Real ApodacaLAHalcones Negros0–1
Halcones Negros0–1DHGuerreros del Pacifico3–3
Guerreros del Pacifico3–3LAFC Santiago0–3
FC Santiago0–3LHCorrecaminos UAT II0–1
Correcaminos UAT II0–1LHVaqueros Reynosa1–2
Vaqueros Reynosa1–2LALa Tribu de Cd. Juarez1–3
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez1–3–HDragones de Oaxaca08/11
Dragones de Oaxaca08/11–ACalor de San Pedro13/11
Calor de San Pedro13/11–HAcambaro22/11
Acambaro22/11Mineros deWHAcambaro3–1
Acambaro3–1LADragones de Oaxaca0–2
Dragones de Oaxaca0–2WHCalor de San Pedro4–1
Calor de San Pedro4–1DHGuerreros0–0
Guerreros0–0WAAcatlan4–2
Acatlan4–2WHAtlético Saltillo3–0
Atlético Saltillo3–0–ADelfines Coatzacoalcos14/11
Delfines Coatzacoalcos14/11–HArtesanos Metepec21/11
Artesanos Metepec21/11–ALa Tribu de Cd. Juarez29/11
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez29/11Top Scorers
Real Apodaca12 ⚽
A. Ponce Castillo1 ⚽
B. Diaz1 ⚽
K. Mariscal1 ⚽
Mineros de12 ⚽
Cards Given
Real Apodaca2 🟨
Mineros de1 🟨