Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion — Division Profesional - Clausura
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Sportivo Luqueno and Nacional Asuncion meet in the Division Profesional - Clausura 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Sportivo Luqueno have recorded 10 wins from 38 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Nacional Asuncion have won 46% of their 39 matches, with 1.46 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.05 for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.49 for Nacional Asuncion. The models give Sportivo Luqueno a 25% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Nacional Asuncion win at 49%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Sportivo Luqueno—
Nacional Asuncion9º
Position
5º
0.93
PPG
1.77
29%
Win %
46%
1.00
Goals / game
1.54
1.93
Conceded / game
0.62
58%
BTTS %
56%
13%
Clean sheet %
38%
58%
Over 2.5 %
38%
3.8
Avg corners
5.0
11.6
Avg shots
12.2
4.2
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.2
10.0
Avg fouls
11.9
48.2%
Avg possession
50.7%
Home vs Away
Sportivo Luqueno
Home (7)
—
Nacional Asuncion
Away (7)
0.86
PPG
1.29
29%
Win %
29%
0.86
Goals / game
1.29
1.86
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
60%
6%
Clean sheet %
30%
67%
Over 2.5 %
35%
3.8
Avg corners
5.0
11.6
Avg shots
12.2
4.2
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.2
48.2%
Avg possession
50.7%
Goals Scored
| Sportivo Luqueno | Home | Away | Nacional Asuncion | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 66% | 72% | 60% | 87% | 89% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 33% | 45% | 41% | 47% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 6% | 0% | 13% | 21% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 34% | 28% | 40% | 13% | 11% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Sportivo Luqueno | Home | Away | Nacional Asuncion | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 94% | 80% | 62% | 53% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 56% | 45% | 18% | 11% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 22% | 20% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 6% | 20% | 38% | 47% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sportivo Luqueno | Nacional Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 8% |
| BTTS | 58% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 28% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sportivo Luqueno | Nacional Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 49% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 34% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 31% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 66% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 37% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Sportivo Luqueno (H)L
Cerro Porteno0–3
Cerro Porteno0–3L
Club Guarani0–1
Club Guarani0–1W
Deportivo Recoleta1–0
Deportivo Recoleta1–0L
Sportivo Ameliano1–2
Sportivo Ameliano1–2W
Rubio NU2–1
Rubio NU2–1L
Libertad Asuncion1–2
Libertad Asuncion1–2Nacional Asuncion (A)D
Olimpia1–1
Olimpia1–1D
Independiente F.b.c.2–2
Independiente F.b.c.2–2WRubio NU1–0
Rubio NU1–0LCerro Porteno0–1
Cerro Porteno0–1W
Club Sp. San Lorenzo3–0
Club Sp. San Lorenzo3–0W
Benjamín Aceval2–0
Benjamín Aceval2–0Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
32 games
League Avg
10.2
72 games
9.2
Corners / Match
33 games
| Match Corners | Sportivo Luqueno | Nacional Asuncion | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 59% | 76% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 53% | 61% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 41% | 52% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 36% | 54% |
| Over 10 | 28% | 30% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 27% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 19% | 24% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 19% | 15% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sportivo Luqueno | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 66% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 31% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 84% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 47% | 30% |
Head to Head · 40 matches
14
Sportivo Luqueno
35%
13
Draws
33%
13
Nacional Asuncion
33%
75%
Over 1.5
30/40
43%
Over 2.5
17/40
18%
Over 3.5
7/40
60%
BTTS
24/40
24/08/26Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
2–0Sportivo Luqueno27/03/26Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
3–2Sportivo Luqueno27/01/26Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
1–2Nacional Asuncion12/10/25Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
1–1Sportivo Luqueno29/07/25Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
2–1Nacional Asuncion17/05/25Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
4–0Sportivo Luqueno10/03/25Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
2–1Nacional Asuncion21/10/24Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
2–2Nacional Asuncion13/08/24Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
1–0Sportivo Luqueno04/05/24Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
0–1Sportivo Luqueno11/02/24Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
2–0Nacional Asuncion01/12/23Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
1–1Nacional Asuncion19/09/23Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
0–0Sportivo Luqueno15/09/23Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
2–1Sportivo Luqueno22/05/23Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
0–1Nacional Asuncion18/03/23Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
0–1Sportivo Luqueno16/10/21Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
0–0Sportivo Luqueno31/07/21Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
2–1Nacional Asuncion17/04/21Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
1–0Sportivo Luqueno14/02/21Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
0–3Nacional Asuncion| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  2 de Mayo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 28 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 |  Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +12 | 23 |
| 6 | Club Guarani | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | +4 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Sportivo Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio NU | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 8 |
| 12 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
Sportivo Luqueno- ●Sportivo Luqueno have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Sportivo Luqueno have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Sportivo Luqueno have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Sportivo Luqueno have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sportivo Luqueno failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Sportivo Luqueno have lost 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Sportivo Luqueno failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
Nacional Asuncion- ●Nacional Asuncion have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●87% of Nacional Asuncion's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Sportivo LuquenoLHCerro Porteno0–3
Cerro Porteno0–3LASportivo Trinidense2–3
Sportivo Trinidense2–3LHClub Guarani0–1
Club Guarani0–1WHDeportivo Recoleta1–0
Deportivo Recoleta1–0LAOlimpia0–3
Olimpia0–3LHSportivo Ameliano1–2
Sportivo Ameliano1–2–HClub Sp. San Lorenzo18/10
Club Sp. San Lorenzo18/10–ALibertad Asuncion29/10
Libertad Asuncion29/10–HNacional Asuncion05/11
Nacional Asuncion05/11Nacional AsuncionWHDeportivo Recoleta1–0
Deportivo Recoleta1–0DAOlimpia1–1
Olimpia1–1DHSportivo Ameliano1–1
Sportivo Ameliano1–1WH2 de Mayo3–0
2 de Mayo3–0WARubio NU1–0
Rubio NU1–0LACerro Porteno0–1
Cerro Porteno0–1–AClub Guarani17/10
Club Guarani17/10–HSportivo Trinidense29/10
Sportivo Trinidense29/10–ASportivo Luqueno05/11
Sportivo Luqueno05/11Top Scorers
Sportivo LuquenoI. Maggi12 ⚽
S. Quintana4 ⚽
O. Ruiz3 ⚽
L. Comas3 ⚽
M. Perez3 ⚽
Iván Maggi2 ⚽
Nacional AsuncionI. Bailone8 ⚽
H. A. Benitez7 ⚽
I. Valdez6 ⚽
C. R. Santa5 ⚽
Hugo Valdez4 ⚽
D. J. Colman Escobar4 ⚽
Cards Given
Sportivo LuquenoIván Maggi6 🟨
J. Diaz4 🟨
Aldo Maiz4 🟨
Alfredo Aguilar4 🟨
Fernando Benítez4 🟨
Álvaro Martínez4 🟨
Nacional AsuncionRoberto Ramírez8 🟨
Hugo Valdez7 🟨
Santiago Rojas5 🟨
Alexis Canete4 🟨
Josué Colmán4 🟨
Richard Prieto4 🟨