Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno — Division Profesional - Clausura
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Libertad Asuncion and Cerro Porteno meet in the Division Profesional - Clausura 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Libertad Asuncion have recorded 17 wins from 44 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Cerro Porteno have won 49% of their 47 matches, with 1.23 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 34%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Libertad Asuncion and 1.28 for Cerro Porteno. The models give Libertad Asuncion a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Cerro Porteno win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Libertad Asuncion—
Cerro Porteno3º
Position
7º
1.93
PPG
1.43
57%
Win %
43%
1.64
Goals / game
1.29
1.14
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
38%
25%
Clean sheet %
45%
48%
Over 2.5 %
34%
4.8
Avg corners
5.0
13.5
Avg shots
12.5
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.9
10.3
Avg fouls
10.9
54.1%
Avg possession
53.1%
Home vs Away
Libertad Asuncion
Home (7)
—
Cerro Porteno
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
1.00
57%
Win %
29%
2.00
Goals / game
1.43
1.14
Conceded / game
1.29
52%
BTTS %
46%
29%
Clean sheet %
38%
48%
Over 2.5 %
46%
4.8
Avg corners
5.0
13.5
Avg shots
12.5
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.9
54.1%
Avg possession
53.1%
Goals Scored
| Libertad Asuncion | Home | Away | Cerro Porteno | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 76% | 65% | 75% | 79% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 48% | 26% | 33% | 42% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 24% | 9% | 15% | 8% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 24% | 35% | 25% | 21% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Libertad Asuncion | Home | Away | Cerro Porteno | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 71% | 78% | 56% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 34% | 29% | 39% | 29% | 17% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 14% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 29% | 22% | 44% | 50% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Libertad Asuncion | Cerro Porteno | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 66% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 35% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 6% |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Libertad Asuncion | Cerro Porteno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 59% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 34% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Libertad Asuncion (H)D
Club Guarani2–2
Club Guarani2–2L
Olimpia0–1
Olimpia0–1D
Sportivo Ameliano1–1
Sportivo Ameliano1–1W
Rubio NU4–2
Rubio NU4–2W
Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–0
Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–0W
Sportivo Trinidense2–1
Sportivo Trinidense2–1Cerro Porteno (A)W
Sportivo Luqueno3–0
Sportivo Luqueno3–0LSportivo Trinidense1–2
Sportivo Trinidense1–2DClub Guarani1–1
Club Guarani1–1W
Deportivo Recoleta3–1
Deportivo Recoleta3–1W
Resistencia1–0
Resistencia1–0LOlimpia1–2
Olimpia1–2Number of Corners
8.9
Corners / Match
41 games
League Avg
10.2
72 games
9.5
Corners / Match
42 games
| Match Corners | Libertad Asuncion | Cerro Porteno | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 81% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 68% | 69% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 51% | 57% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 40% | 54% |
| Over 10 | 34% | 38% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 24% | 31% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 19% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 14% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Libertad Asuncion | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 85% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 66% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 51% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 54% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 46% | 52% |
Head to Head · 42 matches
16
Libertad Asuncion
38%
14
Draws
33%
12
Cerro Porteno
29%
74%
Over 1.5
31/42
40%
Over 2.5
17/42
19%
Over 3.5
8/42
60%
BTTS
25/42
30/08/26Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
1–1Libertad Asuncion21/03/26Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
2–3Cerro Porteno24/01/26Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
1–1Libertad Asuncion23/11/25Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
1–0Libertad Asuncion31/08/25Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
1–1Cerro Porteno05/04/25Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
1–0Cerro Porteno26/01/25Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2–2Libertad Asuncion28/11/24Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2–3Libertad Asuncion14/09/24Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
2–1Cerro Porteno04/05/24Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
1–3Cerro Porteno11/02/24Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
1–1Libertad Asuncion06/11/23Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
1–1Cerro Porteno26/08/23Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
1–1Libertad Asuncion02/06/23Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2–0Libertad Asuncion02/04/23Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
5–0Cerro Porteno31/10/22Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
0–0Cerro Porteno04/09/22Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
1–0Libertad Asuncion25/06/22Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
1–0Cerro Porteno17/04/22Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
4–0Libertad Asuncion03/10/21Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
0–2Cerro Porteno| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  2 de Mayo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 28 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 |  Nacional Asuncion | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 24 |
| 6 | Club Guarani | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | +4 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Sportivo Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio NU | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Recoleta | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
Libertad Asuncion- ●Libertad Asuncion have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Libertad Asuncion failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Libertad Asuncion have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Libertad Asuncion failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Libertad Asuncion have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Libertad Asuncion have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Libertad Asuncion have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Cerro Porteno- ●Cerro Porteno have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno have scored 78% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Libertad AsuncionDHClub Guarani2–2
Club Guarani2–2WADeportivo Recoleta2–1
Deportivo Recoleta2–1LHOlimpia0–1
Olimpia0–1DHSportivo Ameliano1–1
Sportivo Ameliano1–1WA2 de Mayo2–0
2 de Mayo2–0WHRubio NU4–2
Rubio NU4–2–ASportivo Trinidense18/10
Sportivo Trinidense18/10–HSportivo Luqueno29/10
Sportivo Luqueno29/10–AClub Sp. San Lorenzo05/11
Club Sp. San Lorenzo05/11Cerro PortenoWASportivo Luqueno3–0
Sportivo Luqueno3–0LH2 de Mayo0–2
2 de Mayo0–2LASportivo Trinidense1–2
Sportivo Trinidense1–2WHRubio NU1–0
Rubio NU1–0DAClub Guarani1–1
Club Guarani1–1WHNacional Asuncion1–0
Nacional Asuncion1–0–HSportivo Ameliano18/10
Sportivo Ameliano18/10–AClub Sp. San Lorenzo29/10
Club Sp. San Lorenzo29/10–HOlimpia05/11
Olimpia05/11Top Scorers
Libertad AsuncionL. Melgarejo17 ⚽
Elvio de Jesús Vera Brítez6 ⚽
R. Villalba4 ⚽
G. Aguilar4 ⚽
F. Carrizo4 ⚽
M. D. Espinoza Acosta3 ⚽
Cerro PortenoP. Vegetti7 ⚽
J. Morel7 ⚽
I. Aliseda7 ⚽
Pablo Vegetti6 ⚽
C. Dominguez6 ⚽
J. Iturbe5 ⚽
Cards Given
Libertad AsuncionNéstor Giménez10 🟨
Álvaro Campuzano6 🟨
Jorge Recalde4 🟨
Estiven Villalba4 🟨
Gustavo Aguilar4 🟨
Federico Carrizo4 🟨
Cerro PortenoMatías Pérez7 🟨
Juan Iturbe4 🟨
Cecilio Domínguez4 🟨
F. Dominguez4 🟨
Fabricio Domínguez4 🟨
A. Gamarra3 🟨