Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion — Division Profesional - Clausura
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Libertad Asuncion and Nacional Asuncion meet in the Division Profesional - Clausura 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Libertad Asuncion have recorded 17 wins from 44 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Nacional Asuncion have won 46% of their 39 matches, with 1.46 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Libertad Asuncion and 1.26 for Nacional Asuncion. The models give Libertad Asuncion a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Nacional Asuncion win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Libertad Asuncion—
Nacional Asuncion3º
Position
5º
1.93
PPG
1.77
57%
Win %
46%
1.64
Goals / game
1.54
1.14
Conceded / game
0.62
50%
BTTS %
56%
25%
Clean sheet %
38%
48%
Over 2.5 %
38%
4.8
Avg corners
5.0
13.5
Avg shots
12.2
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.2
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.2
10.3
Avg fouls
11.9
54.1%
Avg possession
50.7%
Home vs Away
Libertad Asuncion
Home (7)
—
Nacional Asuncion
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
1.29
57%
Win %
29%
2.00
Goals / game
1.29
1.14
Conceded / game
1.00
52%
BTTS %
60%
29%
Clean sheet %
30%
48%
Over 2.5 %
35%
4.8
Avg corners
5.0
13.5
Avg shots
12.2
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.2
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.2
54.1%
Avg possession
50.7%
Goals Scored
| Libertad Asuncion | Home | Away | Nacional Asuncion | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 76% | 65% | 87% | 89% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 48% | 26% | 41% | 47% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 24% | 9% | 13% | 21% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 24% | 35% | 13% | 11% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Libertad Asuncion | Home | Away | Nacional Asuncion | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 71% | 78% | 62% | 53% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 34% | 29% | 39% | 18% | 11% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 14% | 17% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 29% | 22% | 38% | 47% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Libertad Asuncion | Nacional Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 66% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 8% |
| BTTS | 50% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 28% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Libertad Asuncion | Nacional Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 59% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 49% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 34% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 31% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Libertad Asuncion (H)D
Club Guarani2–2
Club Guarani2–2L
Olimpia0–1
Olimpia0–1D
Sportivo Ameliano1–1
Sportivo Ameliano1–1W
Rubio NU4–2
Rubio NU4–2W
Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–0
Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–0W
Sportivo Trinidense2–1
Sportivo Trinidense2–1Nacional Asuncion (A)DOlimpia1–1
Olimpia1–1D
Independiente F.b.c.2–2
Independiente F.b.c.2–2WRubio NU1–0
Rubio NU1–0L
Cerro Porteno0–1
Cerro Porteno0–1WClub Sp. San Lorenzo3–0
Club Sp. San Lorenzo3–0W
Benjamín Aceval2–0
Benjamín Aceval2–0Number of Corners
8.9
Corners / Match
41 games
League Avg
10.2
72 games
9.2
Corners / Match
33 games
| Match Corners | Libertad Asuncion | Nacional Asuncion | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 76% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 68% | 61% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 51% | 52% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 36% | 54% |
| Over 10 | 34% | 30% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 24% | 27% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 24% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 15% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Libertad Asuncion | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 85% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 66% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 51% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 54% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 46% | 30% |
Head to Head · 44 matches
25
Libertad Asuncion
57%
5
Draws
11%
14
Nacional Asuncion
32%
75%
Over 1.5
33/44
52%
Over 2.5
23/44
14%
Over 3.5
6/44
48%
BTTS
21/44
02/09/26Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
3–0Libertad Asuncion24/05/26Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
2–1Libertad Asuncion18/03/26Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
2–1Nacional Asuncion27/09/25Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
3–1Libertad Asuncion19/07/25Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
0–1Nacional Asuncion11/04/25Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
1–0Nacional Asuncion29/01/25Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
0–3Libertad Asuncion06/12/24Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
1–0Nacional Asuncion29/09/24Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
2–1Libertad Asuncion28/07/24Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
1–2Nacional Asuncion22/05/24Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
5–0Nacional Asuncion17/04/24Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
1–1Libertad Asuncion09/11/23Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
3–1Nacional Asuncion24/09/23Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
2–3Libertad Asuncion07/07/23Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
2–0Nacional Asuncion29/04/23Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
2–1Nacional Asuncion18/02/23Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
1–2Libertad Asuncion23/10/22Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
0–1Nacional Asuncion21/08/22Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
0–2Libertad Asuncion22/05/22Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
1–0Nacional Asuncion| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  2 de Mayo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 28 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +12 | 23 |
| 6 | Club Guarani | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | +4 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Sportivo Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -13 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio NU | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 13 |
| 11 |  Deportivo Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 8 |
| 12 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -18 | 4 |
Team Insights
Libertad Asuncion- ●Libertad Asuncion have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Libertad Asuncion failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Libertad Asuncion have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Libertad Asuncion failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Libertad Asuncion have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Libertad Asuncion have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Libertad Asuncion have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Nacional Asuncion- ●Nacional Asuncion have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●87% of Nacional Asuncion's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Libertad AsuncionDHClub Guarani2–2
Club Guarani2–2WADeportivo Recoleta2–1
Deportivo Recoleta2–1LHOlimpia0–1
Olimpia0–1DHSportivo Ameliano1–1
Sportivo Ameliano1–1WA2 de Mayo2–0
2 de Mayo2–0WHRubio NU4–2
Rubio NU4–2–ASportivo Trinidense18/10
Sportivo Trinidense18/10–HSportivo Luqueno29/10
Sportivo Luqueno29/10–AClub Sp. San Lorenzo05/11
Club Sp. San Lorenzo05/11Nacional AsuncionWHDeportivo Recoleta1–0
Deportivo Recoleta1–0DAOlimpia1–1
Olimpia1–1DHSportivo Ameliano1–1
Sportivo Ameliano1–1WH2 de Mayo3–0
2 de Mayo3–0WARubio NU1–0
Rubio NU1–0LACerro Porteno0–1
Cerro Porteno0–1–AClub Guarani17/10
Club Guarani17/10–HSportivo Trinidense29/10
Sportivo Trinidense29/10–ASportivo Luqueno05/11
Sportivo Luqueno05/11Top Scorers
Libertad AsuncionL. Melgarejo17 ⚽
Elvio de Jesús Vera Brítez6 ⚽
R. Villalba4 ⚽
G. Aguilar4 ⚽
F. Carrizo4 ⚽
M. D. Espinoza Acosta3 ⚽
Nacional AsuncionI. Bailone8 ⚽
H. A. Benitez7 ⚽
I. Valdez6 ⚽
C. R. Santa5 ⚽
Hugo Valdez4 ⚽
D. J. Colman Escobar4 ⚽
Cards Given
Libertad AsuncionNéstor Giménez10 🟨
Álvaro Campuzano6 🟨
Jorge Recalde4 🟨
Estiven Villalba4 🟨
Gustavo Aguilar4 🟨
Federico Carrizo4 🟨
Nacional AsuncionRoberto Ramírez8 🟨
Hugo Valdez7 🟨
Santiago Rojas5 🟨
Alexis Canete4 🟨
Josué Colmán4 🟨
Richard Prieto4 🟨